CNN, as most everybody knows, is standing firm on not calling Ohio for Bush this morning. But if you look at their elector count, they are calling two states that other organizations have yet to call.
CNN is basically alone in calling Wisconsin for Kerry and Nevada for Bush. Looking close at the numbers, it’s hard to understand the logic.
In Ohio, which CNN says is “too close to call”, Bush has a lead of 136,000 votes, with 100% of precincts reporting.
In Wisconsin, which CNN is basically alone in calling for Kerry, Kerry has a lead of 13,293 votes, with 99% of precincts reporting.
In Nevada, which CNN is also basically alone in calling for Bush, Bush has a lead of 20,505 votes, with 99% of precincts reporting.
All of the states in question have provisional ballots to count, Ohio is the only one with 100% of precincts reporting and the leading candidate in Ohio has a margin of 100,000 votes more than in Wisconsin or Nevada.
How is it that CNN – which says it’s not calling Ohio out of an abundance of caution – is willing to call these other two races before everybody else when they are closer than the race that Fox and NBC have already called?