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<copyright>Copyright 2005-2007 by the authors</copyright>
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<title>Announcement: Short-content feeds</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/</link>
<author>Phillip Winn</author><description>Sunday, August 26, 2007, marks the switch of all Blogcritics.org article feeds from full-content to short-content. This is the result of several converging factors, and is unfortunately a permanent decision (as permanent as any decision can be on the web, that is). We are aware of all of the reasons that this is a Bad Idea, and we are aware that some of you will be quite upset about having to click on something to read the free content, and we&#039;re sorry. Unfortunately, despite great effort, full-content feeds are not currently economically viable.

Two other factors are involved: full-content feeds have resulted in an unprecedented level of content theft, with BC content appearing on many websites, usually spam sites, without attribution or permission. This duplicate content causes a cascading set of problems, not the least of which is that search engines generally aren&#039;t favorable to duplicate content, and don&#039;t always guess correctly. Finally, our RSS advertising partner is strongly in favor of short-content feeds.

We hope that you&#039;ll continue to subscribe to BC via RSS, and when an article grabs your eye, it&#039;s only a click away, still free on the BC website. Thank you for your understanding.</description>
<category>Administration</category><guid isPermaLink="false">0@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 26 Aug 2007 12:00:00 EDT</pubDate>
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<title>In The Middle: The Death Penalty</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/12/14/172149.php</link>
<author>Phillip Winn</author><description>From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
Subject: The Death PenaltyThis week, the state of California executed Stanley &quot;Tookie&quot; Williams. He was convicted in 1981 of murdering Albert Owens, Yen-I Yang, Tsai-Shai Yang, and Yee-Chen Lin. It is also widely reported that he was the founder of the Crips gang, although that fact apparently is not related to the two robberies during which the four murders took place.I mention this only to introduce this week&#039;s topic: the death penalty.Since I&#039;m telling stories, I&#039;ll tell mine too. As a young conservative, I was ardently pro-death penalty. I believed that it served as a deterrent and that the punishment ought to fit the crime. It fit with my sense of &quot;justice.&quot; But over time, I became less convinced. As a deterrent, the death penalty seemed to be poor. Perhaps, as some of my friends claimed, that was because there was generally too long between the initial conviction and the actual execution &amp;mdash; 24 years in the case of Stanley Williams. Or perhaps it happened so rarely that it didn&#039;t even enter the mind of someone about to commit murder. I wasn&#039;t sure, but I softened in my support of the death penalty. Fast-forward a number of years to 1995 and I found that I was moved by a Papal document, which surprised me. I&#039;m not a Roman Catholic and was raised in a church environment that taught horrible things about Roman Catholics, but the Pope&#039;s 
Evangelium Vitae, which called for a pro-life emphasis, shook me.Since then I&#039;ve also read reports demonstrating that the death penalty is unevenly applied, with the wealthy able to avoid execution, while the poor cannot. Black people are sent to death row far more often than white people for similar crimes, and men more often than women. Statistically, I don&#039;t think that these disparities can be explained by any other combination of factors. For crimes of equal severity and horror and premeditation, a poor black man is far more likely to be sentenced to die than even a poor white man, let alone a rich white man. Shouldn&#039;t justice be blind?And then there are the mistakes. The state of Illinois reinstated the death penalty in 1977, and between 1977 and 2000, 25 cases were investigated. Twelve of those people were executed while 13 were found, using modern investigative techniques, to be innocent of the crimes. Worse, other stories indicate that innocent people were put to death for crimes they didn&#039;t commit. How many innocent people have been killed in the name of justice? We likely will never know. No system that condemns innocent people to death deserves my support.I supported, in theory, a system based on what I read in the Bible. According to that standard, nobody could be sentenced to death without at least two eyewitnesses. Updated to modern standards, I would say that includes video evidence only when it is essentially undisputed, and even then should be joined by one more &quot;witness,&quot; for which DNA evidence certainly could substitute. But that wasn&#039;t the standard being used in courtrooms across America, and I eventually announced to my friends and family that I could not support the death penalty in America.I could still support a death penalty theoretically under extremely limited circumstances, but I don&#039;t expect those circumstances to ever come about in the United States. And even then, I wouldn&#039;t demand it; I could only accept it reluctantly.What about you, Eric?From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightInterestingly, I had a similar evolution on the death penalty, Phillip, but from a different perspective and for a few differing reasons.Like you, I believed that the death penalty was &quot;just&quot; for those who had committed heinous and unredeemable crimes, first-degree murder obviously being the most frequent example. This was somewhat incompatible, however, with my relatively liberal position on most other issues (more liberal than I am currently, probably!). This caused a degree of tension within my overall political framework, but I took comfort at times with the thought that I couldn&#039;t be pigeonholed on one of the major issues.Somewhere along the way, I shifted into a lengthy era of uneasy ambivalence on the topic. State-sanctioned executions somehow felt wrong to me, but the idea of an eye-for-an-eye was still strong within my heart. Arguments for one side of the other would sway me for a time.Strangely, I recall being influenced by In the Name of the Father, a 1993 film starring Daniel Day Lewis as an imprisoned man desperate to prove he wasn&#039;t involved in an Irish Republican Army bombing. I think it was the dawn of a realization that most other &quot;civilized&quot; nations had long ago outlawed the death penalty. Here we live, I thought, in the United States, a place that purports to be the moral leader of the world, and we execute criminals? Would the Galactic Federation or whatever they call it on Star Trek ever execute a prisoner? So maybe &quot;liberal&quot; influence from the media (with plenty of other filmic fare thrown in, from Dead Man Walking to Stephen King-centric prison films like The Shawshank Redemption and The Green Mile thrown in for good measure) had an influence.I suppose I started to realize that justice need not come at the end of a needle, that civilized peoples could and perhaps should strive for something better than that. Not necessarily for the prisoner&#039;s sake of course - though you make a fine argument about wrongful convictions, Phillip - but for the sake of the rest of us.Other factors later helped to confirm and solidify this newfound conviction, such as a well-circulated sentiment that executing prisoners actually ends up costing far more than feeding and housing over the course of a lifetime imprisonment, thus defusing an economic argument.But it&#039;s the notion of what we strive to be as a society that stuck. I&#039;m realizing just now that that very philosophy now informs my feelings on torturing prisoners as well as a host of human rights issues.Since we&#039;re in rough agreement on the yes-or-no of the death-penalty issue, Phillip, I&#039;ll ask:Why do you think that the death penalty is legal in the United States when so many other countries have outlawed the practice? What does that say about us?From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftThat is a fascinating question, Eric. I&#039;m not sure I have any answer for which there isn&#039;t a counterexample somewhere, but I think there are a few things that combine in some way to keep the death penalty laws on the books.One factor is the popular notion of the United States as a sort of barely settled Wild West. Although Australia might serve as a counterexample here, given its relatively similar history and national identity, it is also worth noting that Australia is not as firmly against the death penalty as most of Europe! Still, I think the US is uniquely inked with the idea of cowboy John Wayne and the Shootout at the OK Corral  and so on. We grow up, or many of us do, with the idea that there are some criminals &amp;mdash; cattle rustlers, say &amp;mdash; about whom we can say, &quot;hangin&#039;s too good for &#039;em!&quot;In fact, I would suggest that many Americans see Europe and deliberately seek to avoid settling into the &quot;stagnation&quot; found there. We relish our image as the brash young leaders of the world, breaking or bending the rules and refusing to settle into cultural torpor as so many other nations have. We&#039;re the inventors of the world, the source of the best music, the most popular fashion, all the good movies, and so on. We won&#039;t be like Wells&#039; Eloi, stagnant to the point of death!Of course, I doubt anyone would state expressly that the existence of the death penalty is part of what has made the United States a great nation. I do think, however, that capital punishment is considered to be part and parcel of our rugged past.So another factor for our continued support is a certain amount of anti-Europeanism. We&#039;re not (yet) those who refuse to recognize evil when it confronts us, we think, or make excuses for even the worst behavior. As I write this, riots are engulfing Sydney nightly in a pattern reminiscent of the riots around Paris last month. The rioting is complicated, with no easy answers, but most Americans would, I think, not rush to say that the rioters should be excused because of an inequity in the social structure. We&#039;ve too many Horatio Alger stories in our history, stories of people who started with less than nothing and the whole world set against them and managed to overcome it all. That&#039;s one of the things I love about the United States, but at the same time it may make us less quick to recognize that there really are inequities in our system that tend to hold people back.All of this said, I believe that we will see the end of the practice of the death penalty in the United States within 10-15 years, though I suspect a law will remain on the books for unusual events and unusual crimes, such as the crimes that led Australian Prime Minister John Howard to entertain the idea of execution despite his country&#039;s opposition to capital punishment.Here&#039;s another thought: The death penalty would be a much more effective deterrent if it were carried out far more quickly (within weeks or months, not years and years) and perhaps even not quite as painlessly. But I wouldn&#039;t want to live in the type of country we would be if we went in that direction.As an alternative to the death penalty, I wonder how many people would seriously entertain the idea of re-introducing &quot;hard time&quot; for those sentenced to life in prison, by which I mean long hours of manual labor, like digging a natural gas pipeline from Alaska. Many people have an idea (not accurate in most cases) that prison is not so hard, and is in fact a step up for many people in the most desperate situations on the lowest rung of America&#039;s socio-economic ladder.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightWhat&#039;s very interesting and what occurred to me while reading through our conversation is that we&#039;re treading on territory &amp;mdash; at least in part &amp;mdash; covered by Michael Moore&#039;s Bowling for Columbine. That documentary focused on guns, gun control, and violence in America, but it did dare (and some of course condemn the controversial filmmaker for daring whereas I give it a standing ovation even as I withhold the right to disagree with some of his conclusions) to raise some fundamental questions, as we have here, about the nature of America and why our society is imbued with certain particular and peculiar characteristics.While I agree that acceptance and support for the death penalty likely stems in part from America&#039;s association with the notion of rugged individualism. I see it as more cause and less effect than you do, if I&#039;m reading you correctly, Mr. Winn. In other words, I think the rugged individualism (or the whole &quot;shoot first, ask questions never &#039;cause there ain&#039;t no cavalry in these here parts&quot; type thing) in our national backbone causes many to accept the death penalty in 2005, but I don&#039;t think we accept it as a reaction to European stagnation or cultural torpor. In fact, I would contend that cultural and even informational provincialism (did I coin a new phrase just there? Quick, to the Lexis-Nexis, Robin!) prevents most Americans from having any real notion of what&#039;s going on in Europe or elsewhere one way or the other (above and beyond bumper-sticker slogans such as &quot;Eat Freedom Fries,&quot; of course). In fact, Americans tend to assume that American culture, as predominant culture, is the only culture.I&#039;ll take a similar position with regard to your Horatio Alger story (and if you&#039;re getting bored with the somewhat intellectual tone of the discussion this week, kids, I&#039;ll give you a topic to toss about: Blogcritics.org is the Horatio Alger of the blogosphere... discuss!). Again, I think you&#039;re right-on in saying that another root cause for support of the death penalty is the American exuberance for nearly pure capitalism and the great risk and great reward that accompany it. You shot someone while robbing a bank and managed to get yourself collared? Off to Old Sparky with you! But again, I can&#039;t associate this in any way with the contention of anti-Europeanism. I once again fail to see the connection there.I agree that the death penalty likely will become increasingly rare in the United States over the course of the next generation or so. In fact, despite the fact that social conservatives currently have a firm grip on the levers of power in the US, there has been a general trend toward liberalism, tolerance, and social acceptance over the past 50 years. Indeed, I grew up during the 1980s, an era when a term like &quot;gay marriage&quot; would never even be uttered in polite company, let alone be discussed in any kind of serious way! It&#039;s this liberal trend, in fact, that has helped to whip a reaction on the right into such a frenzy. It will be interesting when and if this reaction crests and begins to falter.The last of your remarks on this go-round points us toward public policy with regard to prisons and potential reforms. The idea of reintroducing &quot;hard labor&quot; into prison life is an interesting one. It segues quite snugly to my next Big Question (I&#039;m going Big Question instead of Big Picture this week):Is the overall purpose of incarceration to punish or to educate and rehabilitate?I suppose that the very fact that the death penalty is still around forces the answer toward the punishment side of the scale for the US.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftGrowing up in a conservative family and surrounded by mostly conservative friends, I can assure you that &amp;mdash; at least among &quot;my crowd&quot; &amp;mdash; there was definitely awareness of European views on issues like capital punishment, and the general opinion was not positive. You might underestimate the power of someone like Rush Limbaugh to put these issues in front of a large number of people. His radio audience has never been equaled, and is still quite large, while other diehard conservatives have risen through the ranks to spread similar messages far and wide. Me, I&#039;m still with National Public Radio!I do think, and this is based entirely on anecdotal evidence, that even hard-core conservatives do not see capital punishment as a core conservative value to be defended. Just as you once supported it while holding liberal views on many other subjects, and I generally rejected it while still holding conservative views on many other subjects, so too do many conservatives with whom I&#039;ve spoken allow for variation on this issue above many others. Nobody, I think, wants to be seen as a bloodthirsty hangman!You&#039;ve got the last word this week, so I&#039;ll content myself with trying to answer your question. I think that the overall purpose of the justice system varies. The execution of Williams this week has ensured the topic comes up quite a bit, and I spoke to a moderate (he voted for Clinton and Bush) this week who said that anytime someone goes to prison, he wants to feel safer. So Martha Stewart should have been fined but not imprisoned, while premeditated murder ought to result in an automatic life sentence.Certainly victims, or the families of victims, tend to expect a certain amount of punishment. The idea that a killer could quickly rehabilitate and end up on the street, while my loved one lies dead at that killer&#039;s hand, is repugnant on its face to most people, but most of all to the family of the murdered person. And yet there is a fine line between the punishment aspect of justice, and revenge. Even the state-orchestrated death of Stanley Williams didn&#039;t bring back Albert Owens, Yen-I Yang, Tsai-Shai Yang, or Yee-Chen Lin. Those who were lost can never be restored in this life. Did the execution of Williams bring comfort to the survivors of those four people? I don&#039;t know, but statements I&#039;ve read from past victims&#039; families indicate that the hoped-for closure is usually bittersweet at best.In the Big Picture sense, I&#039;ll tell you: I think that certain crimes intrinsically involve giving up the right to live in American society. Premeditated murder, rape, and child molestation make that short list for me. Some people say that child molesters, for example, can not be rehabilitated. I&#039;m uncomfortable with a system that makes such broad statements and would prefer to see a bit more human involvement in such decisions. Even if most child molesters can not be rehabilitated, there are probably exceptions. Will someone who has raped once necessarily rape again? I don&#039;t know the rate of recidivism among convicted rapists, but again, I suspect there are varying degrees. A college student who rapes someone he knows after a party at which he has had too much to drink should spend a stretch of &quot;hard time&quot; in prison, but is he really likely to rape again after his release? Probably not as likely as an older man who prowls a college campus.I&#039;m trying to avoid introducing Christian theology into a discussion of politics, and it is turning out to be very difficult for me on this topic, because so much of my softening on this issue is tied up in my growing understanding of the place of mercy in Christianity. I can summarize a complex explanation in this way, I think: When someone commits one of those certain crimes, I believe that they give up the right to live in society, and should expect to spend the rest of their days breaking rocks and having a generally unpleasant life. But those of us on the outside should strive to exercise mercy, looking for opportunities to integrate people back into society if we can determine with reasonable confidence that they are not a continuing threat to society.That would involve inequity, I think; perhaps more than the American public is willing to bear. One person goes free after only a few years while another dies on the chain gang? Why?And yet that&#039;s what I would like to see in my American utopia.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI certainly see your point with regard to Rush Limbaugh and other pervasive media sources in advancing all manner of ideas and opinions. Of course, that doesn&#039;t make them accurate, but I can appreciate how a strand of thinking (European-style incarceration = bad; fryin&#039; &#039;em = good!) can make its way into a subset or even across a wide swath of the American public. This brings up a related point that we could certainly do several columns on in the future: the importance of obtaining news and information from the widest possible spectrum of sources! Couple that with Mainstream Media Bias: Yea or Nay and I think we&#039;re talking a few months worth of ideas to play around with.I also agree that there is some vacillation on this issue within party ranks. It&#039;s certainly not a &quot;fatal flaw&quot; for a Republican to be against the death penalty, for instance, whereas being pro-choice on abortion would not fly in many areas of the country (Rudy Giuliani&#039;s probable quest for the Republican nomination for president in 2008 will give this thesis a good test).Reading through the comments from your moderately minded friend, it struck me that the keyword with regard to public sentiment toward the prison system is security. If people generally feel safe, I don&#039;t think most really care what goes on behind prison walls: education, prisoner-on-prisoner shiv fests, country club-style HBO marathons, etc. When people don&#039;t feel safe, that&#039;s when politicians ratchet up the law-and-order stuff and up minimum sentencing standards and so on. It&#039;s often ignored that the best law-and-order program any society can ever have is a strong economy and opportunity and education for the masses!It also struck me that the idea of revenge is most often sweeter than the actual feeling of carrying it out. Therefore, I would agree with you with regard to victim&#039;s families and the witnessing of state-sponsored executions. I also like your ideas concerning a philosophy underlying the point at which adults &quot;give up the right&quot; to be free to move and circulate within society. Certain crimes extinguish that right forevermore by their very nature, while others require subjective reasoning and may call on a certain amount of self-motivated education and redemption on the part of the criminal in order to literally earn his or her way back into free society. And I would argue that the very notion of having a free and &quot;just&quot; society allows for that second scenario to be upheld by our legal and justice system. Finally, I&#039;ll be the first to admit it&#039;s all in the details, for which thousands of people get paid millions of dollars everyday to wrestle with these things in an attempt to sort it all out!Let me wrap up this week&#039;s topic before we let our esteemed commenting masses have at it. The death penalty is an expensive, time-consuming, and unethical response to heinous crimes. It&#039;s also very unlikely to deter anyone from plotting a murder, for example, and in any event lifetime imprisonment surely must be an equal or nearly equal deterrent.Most of all, I believe that legally sanctioned executions send a poor message to ourselves and to the world about what we strive to be as a civilized people. This ties in quite snugly with other hot issues currently in the news, such as treatment of &quot;enemy combatants&quot; and torture of suspected terrorist conspirators.Phillip Winn is a registered Republican, but considers himself independent. He lives in Dallas, Texas, and didn&#039;t vote for President Bush in 2000, but did in 2004. He is a co-owner, designer, and technical administrator for Blogcritics.org.Eric Berlin is a registered Democrat who currently lives in Pasadena, California. Pretty predictable voting record: Gore &#039;00, Kerry &#039;04. He is a co-owner and Executive Producer of Blogcritics.org.In The Middle is an attempt to focus more on what unites us than what divides us. Can two reasonable people from opposite ends of the political spectrum put aside partisanship and meet in the middle? We think so. A topic is picked, e-mails are exchanged, and the results are published here.In The Middle is a Blogcritics experiment. We&#039;re trying to talk about things civilly, and we strongly request that all commenters do the same. We seek polite comments and questions, not ideological rhetoric or personal attacks.Be passionate, think before you write, respect others, and have fun!Previous articles from the In The Middle crew have addressed Bill Bennett, Harriet Miers, Iraq as a &quot;Media War,&quot; the CIA Leak Case, Samuel Alito, Jr, Vice President Cheney, John Murtha, and Joe Conason&#039;s Iraq War Plan.&lt;div id=&quot;authorbio&quot;&gt;Phillip Winn is the Chief Geek for &lt;i&gt;BC Magazine&lt;/i&gt;, and a blogger since 1995. He can currently be found and followed on &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/pwinn/&quot;&gt;Twitter&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
<category>Politics</category><guid isPermaLink="false">40993@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 17:21:49 EST</pubDate>
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<title>In the Middle: Joe Conason&#039;s Iraq War Plan</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/12/07/154940.php</link>
<author>Eric Berlin</author><description>From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
Subject: Joe Conason&#039;s Iraq War PlanHas Joe Conason, writer for Salon.com and the New York Observer, come up with a legitimate and legitimately new idea to win the war in Iraq?And now for a brief primer on conventional wisdom and the war in Iraq:A brief primer on conventional wisdom and the war in IraqChapter One
For nearly two years, it was thought to be somewhere near the neighborhood of traitor to even suggest that US troops should leave Iraq before there was some kind of generally agreed upon Total Victory.Chapter Two
After President Bush was re-elected and reality slowly overtook the maelstrom of politics in the United States, public opinion shifted firmly against the war and the persistent reports of American casualties that came with it.Chapter Three
In late 2005, there are three main camps:* The Bushies: Led by Bush 43 himself, these are the hardcore stay-the-coursers. I&#039;d include the neocons in this group, Phillip, but I know that would reopen an earlier debate!* The &#039;Tweeners: This group includes hawkish Democrats like Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden and, interestingly, a rising number of Republicans who are trying to respond to public unease to the war. The general message here is: we need to make progress now and start bringing troops home... or we might just have to start bringing troops home.* The End-It-Nowers: No longer the bastion of Howard Dean and other dovish liberals, this camp rakes in more &quot;names&quot; everyday, including House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and new &quot;name&quot; Rep. John Murtha (D - PA).Interestingly, all three camps don&#039;t differ very much on how to make progress in Iraq: train the troops, decrease American casualties, defuse insurgent capabilities, and so on. The entire concept of bringing in a broader international presence or United Nations support seems to have breathed its last breath with the defeat of presidential candidate John Kerry in 2004.It&#039;s pretty amazing to think that there haven&#039;t been any big new ideas in terms of how to deal with Iraq for a long long time. Perhaps most assumed (and I&#039;ll include myself in this meta-camp) that the die had been cast with the lead-up to invasion and its aftermath and there were no longer any new ideas to put in play.Enter Joe Conason and this intriguing solitary paragraph at the end of a Salon piece entitled &quot;No Way Out&quot; (emphasis is mine):There is a decent and honorable way out that has been addressed by the Iraqis themselves but that no American politician, not even the brave Murtha, is willing to mention: negotiations with the Sunni insurgents. The elected Iraqi government, representing a population eager for us to leave, should begin talks with rebels who are willing to discuss laying down their arms, in exchange for an orderly and scheduled American departure. That is the only way to transform the US occupation from a stick into a carrot -- and to extract some kind of victory from what is becoming a strategic disaster.Is this heresy or the Big Idea needed to bring the US war effort out of its current stasis?My take: this might very well be the answer that frustrated US leaders come to after years of guerilla fighting and further casualties, so they should think long and hard about it pronto-like.What say you from across the In the Middle divide, dear Phillip?From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftInteresting framing, but I think that the actual different views on Iraq are a little different than you&#039;ve painted them to be. For example, Democratic Sen. Joseph Lieberman has recently reiterated his support for continuing in Iraq, reporting that real progress is being made and that Iraqis are far more optimistic about progress in Iraq than we are. I think that the average Iraqi would probably have a better idea about conditions in Iraq than most other people, don&#039;t you? Don&#039;t forget also that people in America (the &quot;general public&quot;), along with members of the military and state and local government, believe that &quot;efforts to establish a stable democracy&quot; in Iraq &quot;will succeed,&quot; according to a recent Pew poll. So I don&#039;t think that the &quot;conventional wisdom&quot; as you&#039;ve laid it out is accurate, which might make for difficulty in coming to a conclusion based on all of that!Is a Big Idea needed? Would a Big Idea help? Or does progress come through a series of small ideas, constant refinements to a plan to deal with new circumstances? Sen. Lieberman and many others seem to think that many ideas now in play are working quite well. In any case, Joe Conason&#039;s Big Idea can be summarized as this: negotiate with the insurgents. That idea doesn&#039;t bother me, but it isn&#039;t new. My surprise is that Joe Conason believes that we have anything to do with it. The Bush Administration has stated repeatedly that Iraqis are in control of Iraq, and that United States troops are there at the request and with the support of the Iraqi government. If the Iraqi government asks us to leave, we will. If they are able to negotiate a cease-fire or treaty of some kind, then we will have effectively &quot;stayed the course&quot; and be ready to leave. The US is not in a position to negotiate with anybody, as that is the duty of the Iraqi government, not US commanders!So we&#039;re sitting happily in the United States asking ourselves whether the Iraqi government should negotiate with those who are trying to kill them. I&#039;d say that&#039;s up to them, and from what I&#039;ve heard, they&#039;ve already been doing so, off and on, for quite some time. The assumption is that one can effectively negotiate with those who consider exploding civilians a viable tactic, and I&#039;m not sure that&#039;s a good assumption. It has been made clear many times that US troops will withdraw as soon as attacks on troops and civilians stop, but that broadly-telegraphed opening position hasn&#039;t resulted in any response other than more bombs. Will more detailed negotiations with the elected Iraqi government fare better? I hope so, but I wouldn&#039;t count on it. After all, we&#039;re told over and over that we&#039;re not facing an organized response, but an upswell of grassroots insurgency. So how would negotiating with a small set of leaders of an organization achieve anything of value?From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI agree that we&#039;re going to have trouble finding common ground on Iraq if we can&#039;t come to at least a broad consensus on what the general read on conventional wisdom is at present. Every poll I&#039;ve looked at over the last few months has been grim-as-grim for the president and for the war effort in Iraq. The media outlets I regularly visit - both conservative and liberal and in between - seem to reflect &quot;my side&quot; of the story as well.I just did a quick Google search and got the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll numbers:As President Bush launched a new effort Wednesday to gain public support for the Iraq war, a new poll found most Americans do not believe he has a plan that will achieve victory.But the CNN/USA TodayGallup poll released Wednesday night also found nearly six in 10 Americans said US troops should not be withdrawn from Iraq until certain goals are achieved. Very interesting, however, is that the story goes on to site that only 35 percent of Americans want to set a specific time table for withdrawal. That said, what might be the most interesting number is that 55 percent think that President Bush doesn&#039;t have a plan to win the war. After 2-1/2 years of war, more than half of all Americans don&#039;t believe there&#039;s a plan to win the thing!Perhaps Joe Conason drew on this perception of quagmire (i.e. things aren&#039;t going that well but we can&#039;t really do much about it any which way) in drawing up his assertion to talk to the Sunni insurgents.And while some in the more peaceful areas of Iraq might be optimistic about the future, the Sunni triangle continues to be a mess. Headlines like &quot;Sunni group to abstain from Iraq poll&quot; can not be cheering to anyone interested in seeing representative democracy flourish in Iraq.After a few months of writing this column with you, Phillip, I understand that you&#039;re one of the more optimistic observers of the Iraqi equation. But I&#039;m surprised that you believe that the United States would refuse to negotiate with the insurgents if we thought it was in our national interest to do so. Look at the trouble-spots around with world: we get up in everyone&#039;s business all the time, from the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to Ireland to North Korea and on and on! We invaded Iraq and Afghanistan and no one invited us to do so. If the Iraqi government asked us to leave today, it would put us in an awkward position but that doesn&#039;t mean we&#039;d be gone in six weeks or even six months.Now, I can definitely get behind many of your counter-arguments against the feasibility of negotiating with violent and loosely slung together factions. That said, if we pacify a few key groups within the Sunni triangle by, for example, making a few political concessions (and we can argue about what &quot;we&quot; means but let&#039;s just assume &quot;we&quot; is the Iraqi government backed very closely by a &quot;persuasive&quot; United States) that could, in theory, tip the balance to the good in the region. At least on the short-term.A rock solid plan? Certainly not. But with the optimism of Lieberman and Bush and some others aside, I personally believe the time is right for new ideas on Iraq, both big and small.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftThis could quickly turn into a discussion about polls at this rate? Ask yourself this: How would Americans know what President Bush&#039;s plan for Iraq is? He can hardly broadcast the details to those who wage war against us, right? Though the details of the plan surely change in response to tactical shifts on the ground, it would be foolishness to immediately send out a press release announcing the way in which we&#039;re deploying troops to respond to the new strategy. So what we know about his plan is that he intends to not abandon the Iraqi people, as his father did, and that the Iraqi military is being pushed to take an increasingly active role in operations, which they are doing. So consider that more than half of the general public believes that we will succeed in bringing a stable democracy to Iraq, while roughly the same percentage say that they don&#039;t think President Bush has a plan to do so. In my view, that apparent conflict means that we don&#039;t understand the questions or answers as well as we might think we do! In any case, with only 35 percent of those polled stating that we need to set a specific timetable, it sounds like far more people agree with President Bush&#039;s plan (whether they realize it or not) than with the alternatives being offered by various Democratic members of Congress. That&#039;s poll data, though, and as interesting as it is, I hate to think that we&#039;re waging war with poll data as a primary factor in decision-making. It&#039;s a factor, sure, and should definitely push the Bush Administration in the direction of better communication, as we&#039;ve agreed in the past, but that&#039;s about it. You mention headlines that identify a &quot;Sunni group,&quot; and I&#039;ve previously mentioned National Public Radio stories which described how several other Sunni groups are deciding that they will participate in elections for the first time. No, the headline isn&#039;t cheering, but the question is whether that&#039;s because there&#039;s no cheering news at all, or because people aren&#039;t reporting it well (remember the Pew poll!), or because you and I just notice things that tend to support our outlook, and there&#039;s plenty of news both good and bad coming out of Iraq. My point isn&#039;t that the United States would or should refuse to negotiate with insurgents in Iraq, but that such negotiation isn&#039;t something we can reasonably do. You mention our involvement in North Korea, which is an interesting example. North Korea demanded to negotiate with the United States, and President Bush refused. While accused of &quot;unilateral&quot; action in Iraq, he was criticized for not negotiating &quot;unilaterally&quot; with North Korea, but he insisted (correctly, it now seems) that only six-party talks would be effective in the long-term. Similarly, President Bush has insisted &amp;mdash; and I believe that he will continue to insist &amp;mdash; that Iraqis should determine the future of Iraq. It is the elected Iraqi government that should be making decisions about with whom they will negotiate, and I for one think that they will continue to do so and have already been doing so. I&#039;m sure we&#039;d be happy to broker talks, as we&#039;ve done between Israel and Palestine. Note that the Palestinian Authority now controls a border crossing without any Israeli or US troops involved, and that the negotiation took place between Israel and Palestine. That&#039;s a good model for future negotiations in Iraq as well. In any case, I don&#039;t think that this idea is &quot;new,&quot; since negotiations have been ongoing for quite a while, nor do I think the effort in Iraq lacks new ideas, big or small. More ideas are always welcome, of course, but I would hope that many would come from people more well-informed than the average NPR listener.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI don&#039;t think anyone is asking the president to reveal strategic military plans, Phillip, and certainly I&#039;m not. But when you hear very little more than &quot;stay the course&quot; after 2-1/2 years of bloodshed, it&#039;s very understandable that the American people are unhappy. Inevitably, inexorably, we have to circle back to the lead-up to war and the history of the war up to the present. Public polls now consistently reveal that most people think the Bush Administration misled the nation into war. So I think the trust issue is now paramount. If a trusted leader tells us to hang on, that&#039;s one thing. But we have a situation in which we were virtually guaranteed all kinds of things: that we would be greeted as liberators (which we were in some ways but not others), that the war would be very short (true... if you believed &quot;Mission Accomplished&quot;; otherwise not so much), and that Iraqi oil would pay for the operation (definitely not true).So I think many people now say, &quot;Why should we believe you now?&quot; And I really can&#039;t fault anyone for asking that question.Let me finish up on polls before moving on: Where&#039;s the link to the Pew poll you&#039;ve mentioned a few times? I&#039;d like to see the numbers you mention before I concede any In the Middle ground.I agree that it&#039;s very easy to latch onto news reports that support or support in part a preconceived notion or set of values. This is inevitably complicated by a situation in which we have 24/7 media coverage but very little factual on-the-ground reporting from the Iraqi streets and talking heads spinning spin from political parties that are inherently self-interested.That said, I think we&#039;re finally seeing the president and Congress acting (if slowly and unsurely) because they rightly sense that the public is unhappy with the war effort as it stands. The truth is that the end is not in sight. And while you may be okay with having American soldiers in Iraq for decades, that&#039;s a political scenario that no politician on the left or right is willing to go near.There are those who even believe that the longer we stay in Iraq, the more destructive it will be for US national security. What&#039;s interesting, and perhaps even unsettling, is that some of these voices come from conservatives. For example, Lt. Gen. William Odom (Ret.), former National Security Agency Director under President Reagan, believes the only feasible course of action is to withdraw all American forces immediately. Far from taking a dovish point of view, he believes that all of our machinations in Iraq have made the world a safer place for al Qaeda.I agree that the Democrats do not yet have a coherent strategy for what to do next, and neither does the White House. Joe Conason&#039;s thoughts on the potential for talking to insurgents, in my view, is a novel angle on what has become, for the most part, a stagnant debate in terms of strategy.Finally, I&#039;m not sure what you mean by &quot;negotiations have been ongoing.&quot; Are you implying that we&#039;re already talking to the insurgents? If that&#039;s so, that counters your view that we should leave this sort of thing to the Iraqis. I&#039;m also not sure what you mean in your reference to &quot;average NPR listeners.&quot; Do you mean that Joe Conason is an average NPR listener? Or that I am?I do listen to NPR, though I couldn&#039;t tell in what way I am or am not average.But I&#039;ll leave the last word to you, sir.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftI linked to the Pew Research poll last week, complete with an inline graphic! Here it is again. With &quot;average NPR listener,&quot; I was referring to myself, since I&#039;ve heard on NPR several times now that Iraqi officials have been in negotiations with Al Qaeda in Iraq and other groups. There was heated debate even among Iraqi government officials about whether negotiating with Abu Musab al-Zarqawi was something that ought to be done, but the reports were that it was proceeding. That was several weeks ago, and it&#039;s why I&#039;ve been so surprised to hear you describe Conason&#039;s proposal as &quot;novel.&quot; It&#039;s both funny and sad that I hear you say things and I wonder how on earth you could have missed major events X, Y, and Z, while I&#039;m sure you hear me say things and wonder the same thing about A, B, and C. For example, I distinctly remember President Bush addressing the nation in 2001 and stating that the &quot;war on terror&quot; would be long and hard, and I definitely got a &quot;many years&quot; vibe from that. Secretary of State Rice has also stated several times that we&#039;re in this for the long haul. And yet you say that &quot;no politician on the left or right&quot; is willing to state such things! Or another example, I&#039;m pretty sure I&#039;ve linked to that Pew Poll at least twice, and yet you apparently never read it, or even my summary of it (with a chart!). Of course, I&#039;m sure that the reverse is true as well. I&#039;ve clearly not seen (or remembered) the polls you have that reveal how dreadfully the American people view the war effort, or how badly things are going in Iraq. I wonder how much of the Great Divide in American politics is due primarily to information filtering? 
 
Nevertheless, Blogcritics.org is a rare place in which left and right come together and hear each other out -- hopefully listening rather than waiting for a chance to argue! Let me see if I can restate some of the views that have come up today: I think that we agree that the Bush Administration has not done a very good job of communicating about the war in Iraq to date, though they are showing some small signs of progress very recently. From early mistakes like the &quot;Mission Accomplished&quot; banner -- which may have been technically true, but now seems fairly ridiculous in light of more than 2000 dead soldiers -- and apparently inflated estimates of Iraqi troop strength, people don&#039;t trust what they hear from the White House, and I don&#039;t blame them. I think that mistrust is reflected in the apparently conflicting polls, in which people don&#039;t think Bush has a good plan, but think it&#039;s all going to work out anyway. It isn&#039;t really the plan they don&#039;t trust, it&#039;s Bush himself! I think one point of disagreement between us actually could turn to agreement if we made a distinction between long-term over-arching plans and more immediate tactical or strategic shifts. There really can&#039;t be very many long-term over-arching plans at this point. Either we leave before things are stable, or we remain until things are stable. The rest is primarily details and definitions. We haven&#039;t heard a new long-term over-arching plan in a long time, because many people believe that the current plan (stay until things are stable) is working. Tactics and strategic choices on the ground is a different matter entirely, and where I think most of the problem lies. The current strategy on the ground is &quot;Clear, Hold, and Build,&quot; and all of the reports I&#039;ve seen so far on this approach have been positive. Even within that, there are many different lower-level tactical decisions to be made based on the resistance encountered, and I&#039;m confident that military commanders on the ground are learning as they go. Could things be better? Of course. War is hell, and no amount of technology is ever going to change that. But people like Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean, who claims that this war is unwinnable, are in a distinct minority. We should be open to new ideas and new strategies, and what I know of the military tells me that we&#039;re probably not quite as open to suggestions as we could be. We could probably also be applying a little more pressure to the Iraqi government to accelerate their timetable, though neither you nor I are likely to ever know what sort of things are happening behind the scenes in terms of diplomatic pressure. The biggest question of all is whether we will win this war. Some experts believe it is unwinnable, while others believe we are well on the way to winning it. A very select few are calling for immediate withdrawal, while others run the gamut of opinion from a phased but scheduled withdrawal to troop increases. When the people who&#039;ve dedicated their lives to understanding situations like this can&#039;t agree, I don&#039;t expect armchair generals like you and I to land exactly on the same page, either. As time goes on and the war continues, we will need to begin demonstrating more serious progress, or the will of the American people will fail and we will abandon Iraqis to the jihadists who wish them to fail in building a stable democracy. One last thing, since I have the last word this week! In trying to wrap my brain around difficult subjects, I often find it useful to reverse the questions. So I ask, how is this war going from the perspective of those who fight against us? Do the insurgents have the support of the Iraqi people? It appears to me that their support is dwindling as quickly or more quickly than our own. Have they ever succeeded in disrupting elections? No, they haven&#039;t. Their enemies (the Iraqi security forces) are growing in number and effectiveness while they themselves are killed by advancing coalition troops, so the ratio is contantly changing against them. Iraqi people stand in lines for hours to join Iraqi police forces, despite those lines being a frequent target for boms. Jordan is holding rallies calling for the death of Zarqawi, and Al Jazeera is sometimes running material that does not portray the &quot;resistance&quot; in a positive light. Recent bombings have taken place in Arab countries, presumably because it is much easier to carry out bombings there, and each time those bombings have resulted in a turning tide of opinion in that area against the bombers. Things are really not going well for those who are fighting against us in Iraq, and it seems that the only hope from their perspective is that we withdraw!Which might tell us something.Phillip Winn is a registered Republican, but considers himself independent. He lives in Dallas, Texas, and didn&#039;t vote for President Bush in 2000, but did in 2004. He is a co-owner, designer, and technical administrator for Blogcritics.org.Eric Berlin is a registered Democrat who currently lives in Pasadena, California. Pretty predictable voting record: Gore &#039;00, Kerry &#039;04. He is a co-owner and Executive Producer of Blogcritics.org.In The Middle is an attempt to focus more on what unites us than what divides us. Can two reasonable people from opposite ends of the political spectrum put aside partisanship and meet in the middle? We think so. A topic is picked, e-mails are exchanged, and the results are published here.In The Middle is a Blogcritics experiment. We&#039;re trying to talk about things civilly, and we strongly request that all commenters do the same. We seek polite comments and questions, not ideological rhetoric or personal attacks.Be passionate, think before you write, respect others, and have fun!Previous articles from the In The Middle crew have addressed Bill Bennett, Harriet Miers, Iraq as a &quot;Media War,&quot; the CIA Leak Case, Samuel Alito, Jr, Vice President Cheney, and, most recently,  John Murtha.
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<category>Politics</category><guid isPermaLink="false">40658@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 7 Dec 2005 15:49:40 EST</pubDate>
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<item>
<title>In The Middle: John Murtha</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/12/05/120006.php</link>
<author>Phillip Winn</author><description>From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
Subject: John MurthaPolls showed President Bush&#039;s approval rating to be plummeting, and it seems that his political foes were eager to push their advantage. Even some Democrats who had voted in favor of invading Iraq publicly apologized for their votes and began to call for withdrawal plans. Pennsylvania Democrat John Murtha went even farther, calling for the United States military to &quot;immediately redeploy&quot; troops, withdrawing from Iraq. Representative Murtha is certainly passionate, but I wonder how much credibility he can claim to have, given his record on the war in Iraq.Prior to the Iraq authorization vote in 2002, Murtha questioned the resolution on primarily strategic reasons (it might alienate allies to go ahead without United Nations approval), but ended up voting for it anyway.In 2004, in the wake of the Abu Ghraib scandals, he called for more troops to be sent to Iraq, arguing that,  &quot;We cannot prevail in this war as it is going today,&quot; and &quot;We either have to mobilize or we have to get out.&quot;So far this seems reasonable. I, too, was worried a bit about the lack of UN support, though I decided eventually, as did many others, that UN support would never come, no matter what Hussein did. The Abu Ghraib revelations were disheartening, and I would certainly have supported more troops had the military  leadership called for them. Still, that was a tactical decision, one that should be made free from political influence. Whether political issues are unduly influencing those decisions, I don&#039;t know, but certainly Rep. Murtha&#039;s statements don&#039;t represent politics-free decision-making, either.Where things start to seem a little odd is later in 2004, with a bill introduced by Democrat Charles Rangel. Introduced in 2003, the bill would have reinstated a military draft, a political ploy designed to publicize the claim (which began in 2002) that a mandatory draft was unavoidable, and that President Bush was trying to avoid the issue until after the 2004 election. The bill was forced to a vote in 2004 in order to clear it off the docket, and even the bill&#039;s sponsor voted against it. Only two people voted in favor of reinstating the draft, and one was John Murtha. Of course, once the 2004 election cycle was over, nobody mentioned a draft again.Just before Thanksgiving, Rep. Murtha seems to have decided that troop increases were no longer enough, and began to call for an immediate withdrawal from Iraq. On November 17 on NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, in an interview with Margaret Warner, Murtha said, &quot;I say that the fight against Americans began with Abu Ghraib. It began with the invasion of Iraq. That&#039;s when terrorism started.&quot; That comes as a bit of a surprise to anyone who remembers September 11, 2001, I&#039;m sure! Still, Rep. Murtha is no critic of the military, and his intentions are clearly found at least in part on a concern for troops who are fighting what seems to him to be an unwinnable war.But still we have an odd contrast between Rep. Murtha&#039;s statement and his votes, because after calling for an immediate withdrawal on the 17th, he voted against a bill suggesting just that the next day! The bill was defeated by a vote of 403 to 3 with six abstentions.Let us make no mistake: What John Murtha actually said on Thursday, November 17, was this (emphasis added): &quot;I believe before the Iraqi elections, scheduled for mid-December, the Iraqi people and the emerging government must be put on notice: The United States will immediately redeploy&amp;mdash;immediately redeploy. No schedule which can be changed, nothing that&#039;s controlled by the Iraqis, this is an immediate redeployment of our American forces because they have become the target... My plan calls for immediate redeployment of U.S. troops consistent with the safety of U.S. forces to create a quick reaction force in the region, to create an over-the-horizon presence of Marines, and to diplomatically pursue security and stability in Iraq.&quot;This may actually not be a bad idea, and I would support this plan if the military commanders were to call for it as the best way to proceed.Republican Duncan Hunter took those words and turned them into a resolution, which said, &quot;Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the deployment of United States forces in Iraq be terminated immediately. Resolved, That it is the sense of the House of Representatives that the deployment of United States forces in Iraq be terminated immediately.&quot; It is against that resolution that John Murtha voted.I have to wonder, what&#039;s going on with John Murtha?From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI think that Rep. John Murtha is a very interesting figure to emerge at the center of the ongoing debate about what to do about Iraq, Phillip. Murtha, a fairly conservative Democrat, has strong ties to the military and defense issues throughout his career as a military man and politician both.I see Murtha&#039;s statement on redeployment of U.S. troops out of Iraq as a passionate stand by a man who deeply believes a change in policy is needed to make things better &amp;mdash; both in Iraq and for American forces and long-term security for the United States. Indeed, his character, values, and beliefs now stand at stark odds with the President, who again today (Wednesday) rattled off standard and (verrrry...) long-standing slogans about staying the course and fighting until victory is at hand.You seem to imply, Phillip, that Murtha&#039;s call for redeployment might be a political ploy designed to increase support for the growing anti-war sentiment in Congress (driven by relentlessly gloomy and across-the-board poll numbers). I can understand why some might feel this way, but I think a closer look at the actual proposal is warranted. The idea is that Iraq won&#039;t stand up for itself until it is basically forced to. Therefore, American forces would, under this plan, redeploy to neighboring or nearby areas so that they could easily go back in should it be necessary. This is actually a very interesting way to pull American soldiers away from the specter of Sunni-Shiite civil war yet put them in position to stamp out terror cells and training camps quickly and efficiently. I&#039;m not military expert enough to comment upon the viability of such a plan, but I believe we&#039;ve reached a time where many options should be closely examined under the umbrella of free and open debate.The reason why Murtha voted against the forced vote by the GOP a few weeks ago (and talk about ploys, that was about as big of one as you can get!), as far as I understand it, is because that bill called for the immediate withdrawal of U.S. troops, and not the redeployment as sketched out above.As far as military commanders asking to redeployed, the sad but certain truth is that this will never happen. It can&#039;t happen &amp;mdash; at least in public &amp;mdash; because soldiers are trained to attempt to complete the mission, whatever the odds. In any event, we&#039;ve seen already what happens to high-ranking officials and soldiers who question Bush administration policy. It&#039;s up to our civilian leadership to change course based upon recommendations and facts on the ground. A significant problem here may lead back to the &quot;Bush Bubble,&quot; or the tight circle in which President Bush surrounds himself, unpunctured by contrarian voices and, as has been famously stated, any form or news or media reporting.So I think what we have is two clear positions emerging, with Bush on one side and Murtha as a new and leading figure on the other. Most others are in the middle, the confused and muddled variety and not the sharp as tacks, witty, and vivacious varietals found at In the Middle. From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftThe Hunter resolution was definitely a stunt, intended to do exactly what it seems to have done: force Murtha to take a stand rather than rely solely on rhetoric. They&#039;re all stunts, and it&#039;s all politics. The interesting point is the stand Murtha took when it came to a vote.Placing a lot of emphasis on the word &quot;redeployment&quot; overlooks the fact that Murtha spelled out the details of what he was talking about. Details that can be summed up succinctly as &quot;withdraw from Iraq, but stay close by just in case.&quot; In other words, a plan entirely consistent with the Hunter resolution, which was also consistent with Murtha previous statments about needing to &quot;get out.&quot; As I mentioned, originally, I&#039;m not against the general idea, I just want it to be driven by the military commanders on the ground, not politicians thousands of miles away. A recent Pew poll reveals that military personnel and the general American public are the two groups which have the most positive opinion of the progress in Iraq, and I think that&#039;s telling. While it is certainly the case that public disputes from military commanders are unwelcome for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is the message that sends to those against whom we&#039;re fighting, privately the opinions of the officers on the ground ought to be given the highest level of consideration, and I believe that they are.Tactics have changed many times since the original invasion of Iraq, and continue to change in response to changing conditions. I heard a report on NPR recently in which two congressmen, one from each party and both recently returned from Iraq, expressed how impressed they were by the progress that is being made there, as Iraqi troops are more involved over time with military operations, and as those against whom we&#039;re fighting control less and less ground. We are making progress, though the progress is slow and expectations are high due to both unrealistic ideas in the age of Media War and also false hopes trumpeted as realities in the early days of the war.I don&#039;t actually think that Murtha and Bush are very far apart in their views. Both want to see the troops come home, and both want to see Iraq succeed. I believe that Bush feels that he has to send a message of unwavering committment, to demonstrate to those who would otherwise press against what they perceive as weakness on our part that we will not bow under the pressue of more or bigger explosions. I think Murtha is more concerned with how people here in the the United States perceive things, and also, because he isn&#039;t the President, has more freedom to suggest things than Bush does. Both of them also, of course, care quite a bit for the safety of the troops.The primary difference between their positions as I see it, aside from their relative abilities to speak freely, is that Bush believes that the Iraqi troops are making substantial progress right now, while Murtha believes that they will only make substantial progress with the pressure of stark necessity.Still, I can&#039;t help but think that some of what we&#039;re seeing is political grandstanding, an attempt by critics of President Bush to use the time of the year &amp;mdash; when people are thinking about family and missing their loved ones &amp;mdash; and Bush&#039;s falling poll numbers in ways that aren&#039;t even necessarily the most effective at actually accomplishing their goals.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightWhile I agree that politicians act like &quot;politicians&quot; nearly all the time, I still have to wonder why you seem to imply that Murtha&#039;s actions are purely Machievellian in nature. In my view, he immediately has credibility as a lifelong military man and foreign policy hawk who stood up from the back benches of Congress to demand change to a policy he in some ways helped to craft. To me, that shows backbone and courage and the fortitude to demand progress and accountability and transparency from our government.I can&#039;t tell you exactly why Murtha voted against the Hunter resolution. Members of Congress get into &quot;trouble&quot; all the time for these kinds of in-house machinations (see: John Kerry, &#039;04), which was exactly why the House GOP rolled out what could only be described as a designed mousetrap. But personally I&#039;ll take him at his word in stating that his preference is that changes in military policy should be driven by the commanders on the ground. Last night on Hardball, Murtha echoed what many others are saying in expressing that military commanders are privately horrified at the war effort but refuse to say so in public. This presents a conundrum, which circles me back to what might be a general unwillingness by the Rumsfeld-Cheney-Bush inner circle to change policy in the face of bad information, intelligence, and voices of dissent. Former Secretary of State Colin Powell would likely be the first to tell you that breaking
into that inner circle is a nearly impossible task.I agree that Bush&#039;s and Murtha&#039;s goals are very closely related, as are the views of the vast majority of both parties and the American people: leave Iraq safe and secure and preserve American security and the lives of as many of our citizens and soldiers as possible. I disagree that the politics are being driven by the &quot;time of year&quot; as much as the normal souring of the American public toward foreign military adventures that drag on and don&#039;t show visible signs of progress. This is exactly where Bush&#039;s &quot;stalwartness&quot; gets him into trouble, as it should. Expressing unbound optimism and bumper sticker slogans can demonstrably yield political victory but it can&#039;t turn the tide on a murky-to-ugly military picture.Many of our In the Middle columns seem to circle back to a few Big Picture questions (and as we all know, I&#039;m a Big Picture guy). One that most are asking and will continue to ask is: How is the war really going? As Marine Gen. Peter Pace, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the US Armed Forces, recently said, perhaps the government and namely the president needs to do a better job of explaining how the war is going in unadorned and unspun terms. This leads back to my call for transparency. If 2005 has shown us anything, it&#039;s that the American public is desperate for honest leadership. That may well be one of the largest factors in why John Murtha is now a household name. From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftI agree completely that we need more information about how the war is really going. I think Bush&#039;s speech this week might signal the beginning of just such a change in strategy. I hope so! I understand that they&#039;ve been reluctant to spell things out for fear that our very media-savvy opponents in this struggle will learn important things from satellite television, but I think the time has come when the concerns of the voting public need to outweigh that fear in most cases, allowing for a certain amount of short-term secrecy for tactical reasons.One other concern they&#039;ve probably had involves the short-term mentality of many people, who really seem to expect any military operation to be wrapped in about as long as it took to film Saving Private Ryan. If we have a bad week, or bad month, in the ongoing war effort, will short-sighted people call for withdrawal too soon? Will such fears cause military commanders to avoid taking necessary risks, in order to manage the images and numbers we see here at home?Still, I&#039;d like to see maps, and charts, and lists. I suspect those would reveal a somewhat different picture of the situation in Iraq than the mental image many people have, but there&#039;s only one way to know for sure!I don&#039;t think I&#039;d say that Murtha moves are &quot;purely&quot; manipulative, but I think that there is a strong element of politican showmanship in the timing and nature of his statements. As a congressman, he has avenues which he could pursue which would be more likely to result in action, but chooses instead to spend his time on television talk shows and at press conferences. I have to believe that this is in large part an effort to create an image like the one you described, in which Murtha is seen as the anti-Bush, despite their views being far more similar in reality than those of many other members of Congress.Murtha&#039;s somewhat inconsistent back-and-forth speechifying suggests to me that there is a little more going on there than a natural progression of ideas.In any case, I think we agree that the time has come for more transparency about what&#039;s going on in Iraq, and the poll numbers to which I linked a little while ago suggests to me that CNN and Fox News are not necessarily the best sources, given a strong tendency to pessimism. From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightCNN and Fox News have something in common?Okay, but seriously... I&#039;ll counter and say that Murtha&#039;s Stand (how&#039;s that for grandiose?), coupled with diving poll numbers and general unease about the war throughout Washington, are the very factors that brought out Bush&#039;s speech this week. So while you might see it as grandstanding and speechifying, I actually see it as actions that have brought about results (i.e. spelling out the beginnings of a strategy, to be kind) not seen in two-and-half-years of war!I think Bush has proved that he&#039;s immensely capable of not listening to detractors, the media, or anyone else (perhaps not even his father or Bush 41&#039;s able foreign policy team) once he&#039;s made up his mind about something. When Bush says &quot;stay the course,&quot; I for one believe that that means until the end of time, if not sooner. One of Bush 43&#039;s problems has always been his inability to change course (while staying on it, of course) in the face of changing data and changing times and public demands, from tax cuts to stem cell research
to Iraq. Fred Kaplan&#039;s Slate piece covering Bush&#039;s speech does a really good job of summing up the somewhat little, hopefully not too late substance of the National Security Council&#039;s newly printed &quot;National Strategy for Victory in Iraq.&quot; That said, it&#039;s better than nothing, and perhaps it&#039;s a start to a coherent Iraq strategy.I can&#039;t fault patriots, whether it be John Murtha or John McCain, for demanding that from the president.Focusing on the future, Kaplan did an excellent job in pointing out four crucial factors that Bush continues to ignore. They are:
The potential for the U.S. occupation to fuel the very insurgency its fighting
The huge X factor of the ability of the Iraqi military and police forces to effectively handle security on their own
The enormous strain on the U.S. military in terms of personnel, recruiting, and morale
The fact that the vaunted war on terrorism does not come close to the level of threat posed by Nazism, Imperial Japan, or the Soviet Union
Those factors could well point the way to the next installment of In the Middle, I should think.Phillip Winn is a registered Republican, but considers himself independent. He lives in Dallas, Texas, and didn&#039;t vote for President Bush in 2000, but did in 2004. He is a co-owner, designer, and technical administrator for Blogcritics.org.Eric Berlin is a registered Democrat who currently lives in Pasadena, California. Pretty predictable voting record: Gore &#039;00, Kerry &#039;04. He is a co-owner and Executive Producer of Blogcritics.org.In The Middle is an attempt to focus more on what unites us than what divides us. Can two reasonable people from opposite ends of the political spectrum put aside partisanship and meet in the middle? We think so. A topic is picked, e-mails are exchanged, and the results are published here.In The Middle is a Blogcritics experiment. We&#039;re trying to talk about things civilly, and we strongly request that all commenters do the same. We seek polite comments and questions, not ideological rhetoric or personal attacks.Be passionate, think before you write, respect others, and have fun!Previous articles from the In The Middle crew have addressed Bill Bennett, Harriet Miers, Iraq as a &quot;Media War,&quot; the CIA Leak Case, Samuel Alito, Jr, and Vice President Cheney.&lt;div id=&quot;authorbio&quot;&gt;Phillip Winn is the Chief Geek for &lt;i&gt;BC Magazine&lt;/i&gt;, and a blogger since 1995. He can currently be found and followed on &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/pwinn/&quot;&gt;Twitter&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
<category>Politics</category><guid isPermaLink="false">40519@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 5 Dec 2005 12:00:06 EST</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
<title>In the Middle: Vice President Cheney</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/11/10/164834.php</link>
<author>Eric Berlin</author><description>From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
Subject: Vice President CheneyThere are so many topics to talk about in politics at the moment - the war in Iraq, a myriad of political scandals, Supreme Court nominee Alito, just to name three - but one question keeps coming up for me again and again:What&#039;s up with Vice President Cheney? For all extents and purposes, Cheney is the head of a once powerful force in Republican circles known as the neoconservatives (or neocons), or those who wish to use American military power to transform the world into a place that is both safer and more secure for the United States. The war in Iraq, of course, was the first big test of this worldview and strategy. 9/11 provided the impetus for the neocons to really take the helm at the White House, driven by Cheney&#039;s close proximity to President Bush&#039;s ear and a Karl Rove-led PR machine that drove home the message that went something like the following:Terrorists = bad. 
Saddam Hussein = bad. 
We must fight terrorists there so we don&#039;t have to fight them here.Ergo...Saddam&#039;s gotta go.Cut to 2005 and we&#039;re still in Iraq and American soldiers are giving up their lives to increasingly sophisticated insurgent attacks. Recent developments have also brought us back to the run-up to the war, particularly the PR machine that was run out of the Vice President&#039;s office. Dick Cheney&#039;s Chief of Staff, Scooter Libby, is under indictment for perjury and obstruction of justice in the matter of revealing CIA operative Valery Plame&#039;s identity in an effort to destroy the reputation of former Ambassador Joe Wilson, who, lo and behold, tried to put the brakes on the Let&#039;s Go War! dance by refuting claims that Saddam Hussein tried to purchase from Niger materials that could be used in the construction of nuclear weapons. (Full disclosure: the British claim that Hussein actually did try to purchase these materials, so who knows what the truth is?)So, Cheney is at the center of a war policy that, by the best of estimates, is not going very well, and is perilously close to a political scandal that is toxic to an already floundering administration. So what does he do? Go to Disney Land? Nope, he&#039;s a sole voice in the wilderness in support of torturing detainees.Just last week, Cheney showed up at a Republican senatorial luncheon to lobby lawmakers for a CIA exemption to an amendment by Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) that would ban torture and inhumane treatment of prisoners. The exemption would cover the CIA&#039;s covert &quot;black sites&quot; in several Eastern European democracies and other countries where key al Qaeda captives are being kept.So I ask you, Phillip, old buddy:What&#039;s up with Vice President Cheney? From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftYou don&#039;t make it easy to find middle ground when you start with bogeyman stories! It is a given, and goes without saying, that neocons rule the Bush administration, if you don&#039;t like the war in Iraq. I&#039;m sure that Republican spin-meisters are wishing they had thought of a cute label to use to identify those in President Clinton&#039;s administration who were pushing for a particular agenda. Labeling people makes them much easier to demonize!In fact, I think I&#039;ve laid out a reasonable case for the invasion of Iraq even in the absence of WMDs, and there are plenty of people who don&#039;t fit the &quot;neocon&quot; mold that agreed with invading Iraq based on what we knew at the time, including Senator Clinton from New York and the majority of both houses of Congress. Rather than affixing labels, let us instead agree that Vice President Cheney was one of several people who believed it was important to press matters militarily in the Middle East, and not based entirely on over-simplistic jingoism.On that basis, I believe the idea is that as the war effort is currently unpopular, and with &quot;Scooter&quot; Libby under indictment, anybody holding the view that the United States of America should attempt to exert positive influence in the Middle East should be laying low, or hiding in shame. Is that about right? I&#039;m sure it comes as no surprise to you that since I generally expected things in Iraq to be worse than they&#039;ve been so far, I don&#039;t generally see much reason for laying low or giving up at this point. That said, Libby&#039;s indictment does reflect directly on Cheney personally, not just in a policy sense. While the indictments don&#039;t technically mean that anyone in the White House deliberately did anything wrong prior to the beginning of the investigation, and might even suggest that the prosecutor tried and failed to convince a grand jury to bring further charges, we all certainly have suspicions. As much as I generally try to give people the benefit of the doubt, my suspicions lead me to be very disappointed in President Bush, as I mentioned that I would be. This is politics, though, and there are two ways to deal with setbacks. Either hide in shame, as Newt Gingrich did, or charge right in, as Bill Clinton did. Dick Cheney appears to be taking the latter route. Put another way: Cheney is old enough to be looking at retirement in a few years, with perhaps the occasional speaking engagement. In one sense, he&#039;s got nothing to lose!Still, it might be a slight misrepresentation to say that Cheney is supporting torture. Rather, he doesn&#039;t want to support an amendment that he considers too broad. His opposition could, if one were so inclined, be seen as a further demonstration of the basic honesty and integrity of this administration. After all, they could support the legislation and carry on with the torture anyway!But with Libby reporting to federal authorities, I don&#039;t think I&#039;m actually willing to claim that&#039;s the case here.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightWhere&#039;s the boogeyman story in the case that I presented, Philip? It&#039;s a widely held view that the neocons, led in many senses by Dick Cheney because of his position as Vice President and influence on President Bush, led the charge for taking out Saddam - before September 11, 2001. Cheney is widely seen as the most influential Vice President in U.S. history. There were others who likely supported the war in Iraq for any number of reasons, but it was the neocons who gave the push (and some might say rush) to the pro-war movement, and finally President Bush who picked up its banner. So it wasn&#039;t just Cheney: it was Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld and Feith and card-carrying members of the neocon intelligentsia like Bill Kristol from The Weekly Standard.Is there something untrue in the way I&#039;ve presented things? If so, I can&#039;t see it. I&#039;m not trying to imply that there was a &quot;sinister cabal&quot; (a term that sounds strangely familiar to me for some reason) of low men in secret smoky rooms plotting this thing, but merely that Cheney successfully led a movement of politicians, intellectuals, and journalists to their desired goal: the ouster of Saddam Hussein.Whether or not this goal was accomplished on shaky evidence and under less than up-and-up circumstances is a much murkier question in my view. The Fitzgerald investigation is ongoing, however, and the Senate - under prompting from newly feisty Minority Leader Harry Reid - is looking into pre-war intelligence. Both will hopefully provide some answers to the many open questions about how and why we ended up where we are today.You may well be right about Cheney feeling he has &quot;nothing less to lose&quot; (do I see common ground on the horizon, shining like a bright beacon of freedom?). With his office under siege and his chief aide (Libby was known as &quot;Cheney&#039;s Cheney&quot;) gone, Cheney is now finally feeling the cold shoulder of the president, according to some observers.Therefore, he may feel &quot;freed up&quot; to let fly his exact positions on policy and the world. Let&#039;s remember that it was Cheney who has always taken the hardest line on Iraq, on the war on terror, and on most matters of national security. Therefore, he likely feels that some harsh level of interrogation (he might quibble on the use of the word &quot;torture&quot;) is vital to successfully prosecute the war on terror.The fact remains, however, that many in his own party are dead against him on this one. Would you really want to be the one to tell Senator John McCain - someone who knows about interrogation and torture like no other living American - that he&#039;s wrong on this policy?Where I come from, that&#039;s called chutzpah.And what&#039;s interesting from a political standpoint is that Cheney and the neocons may find themselves more and more outside of the mainstream - to use phraseology from the Supreme Court nomination hearings - even within the Republican party.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftThe bogeyman is a widely-held belief, too!It&#039;s the label of &quot;neocons&quot; &amp;mdash; accepted glibly by roughly half of my friends and a source of puzzlement to the other half &amp;mdash; that sounds like a scary bedtime story. It&#039;s hard to label a group without turning them into a de facto sinister cabal, and I like to think we&#039;re the only sinister cabal operating around these parts!I really do have friends from both sides of most political issues, which puts me (I think) in a distinct minority in this country, and makes me somewhat sensitive to the issue of vocabulary that isn&#039;t shared.Despite a quibble over labels, I do think we see the same thing driving Dick Cheney. If he cared what people thought about him before &amp;mdash; and I&#039;m not sure he ever did &amp;mdash; he certainly cares little now. We may be in the rare position of having a Vice President of the United States of America speaking as freely as a weekend pundit.My, that would be interesting!A related issue that I haven&#039;t addressed yet is torture. I actually disagree with Vice President Cheney, though I know many people here in Texas that would back him up on his terms.I see two negatives to allowing &quot;aggressive interrogation techniques,&quot; which is the euphemism with which I&#039;ll start.The first is that when it is known that we are using such techniques, we invite retaliatory measures against our own personnel. Since the publicity over Abu Ghraib, it is well-known that we&#039;ve crossed the line, and I think we need to be beyond circumspect in making it clear that we regret that and that it won&#039;t happen again, in hopes that our own people are treated well. Of course, there are counter-arguments: We are dealing with an enemy that beheads journalists for being Jewish and tends to see conspiracy in every shadow, so it isn&#039;t likely that our pleas for restraint would be believed or reciprocated. They simply don&#039;t capture many of us. Also, Cheney could be deliberately sending a message to our enemies, stating that we won&#039;t back down or give an inch just because of bad publicity.I do think that the Bush administration has tended to make statements knowing that they would be heard by our enemies, while critics of the administration too easily forget that.Still, the second reason I don&#039;t think we should be using torture is that it simply doesn&#039;t work. Everything I&#039;ve read on the subject indicates that we are far more likely to be given false information by someone wanting to make the pain stop than real information we can use to save lives.Reporting indicates that those we capture have had some training in how to deal with us. They complain based on certain patterns, know what our most likely approach with them will be, and so on. Up against an enemy that knows how to play to the worldwide press, I think we would be best off installing video surveillance to prove to observers that our prisoners are not being tortured, and making our pledge of no-torture known to the world.Will they believe us? Maybe not. But we don&#039;t make every decision solely for our enemies.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightYou make it sound like the term neocon is an epithet, when in fact it&#039;s a label that was worn proudly by many. It&#039;s only very recently that they&#039;ve fallen into hard times, as we grind through month after month of casualties and bombings in Iraq. Here&#039;s a pretty neat wrap-up of our neocon discussion, which in many ways proves us both right (In the Middle pats on back all around, I say!), from Wikipedia: 
 Neoconservative journalists, pundits, policy analysts, and politicians, often dubbed &quot;neocons&quot; by supporters and critics alike, have been credited with (or blamed for) their influence on U.S. foreign policy, especially under the administrations of Ronald Reagan (1981-1989) and George W. Bush (2001-present), and are particularly noted for their association with and support for the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.The term &quot;neocon,&quot; while increasingly popular in recent years, is somewhat controversial and is rejected by many to whom the label is applied. Others say it lacks any coherent definition, especially since many so-called neoconservatives vehemently disagree with one another on major issues.
On the aggressively beating the hell out of people for information thing, I think you&#039;ve hit on why John McCain has so much stature on this issue: he knows that the United States loses its credibility on a host of issues when it acts no better than backwater dictatorships in treating its captives. You&#039;ve presented this issue, in part, in terms of how our &quot;enemy&quot; treats people. If we&#039;re talking about al Quaeda, I think it&#039;s pretty well established that they care very little for human life: their own, ours in America, or anyone in between who gets in the way of their goals. In the larger sense, the United States should (and many ways absolutely must) set the gold standard for the rest of the planet. For example, how can we go to China and demand human rights reforms when it&#039;s well known that our own practices are suspect? Former Irish President Mary Robinson, a world leader on human rights, recently made an eloquent and urgent point on Real Time With Bill Maher in stating that the U.S. used to be a beacon to the world on human rights issues, but that simply isn&#039;t the case any longer. If true - and I very much believe this has become the case over the last five years - that&#039;s a sad legacy for the Bush administration, and indicates an enormous loss of the United States&#039; moral power and leadership. Cheney&#039;s position on &quot;aggressive interrogation&quot; or torture or whatever you want to call it is only the icing on that particularly sour cake.  So, I suppose that&#039;s a summary of what I think is up with our Vice President. But I&#039;ll leave you with the last word! From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftYou and I clearly disagree on many fundamental issues here, but I think that we have found some common ground.When I refer to &quot;our enemies,&quot; I simply mean those who oppose us on the battlefield. Right now that includes Al Queda, some Sunni Iraqis, and many other foreign nationals who have come across the borders into Iraq and Afghanistan. It could someday include anyone. One big question seems to be how we should deal with those who, as you say, care very little for human life. On this, I fear, some have been very short-sighted, willing to trade immediate results for future problems around the world. Despite the fact that it will certainly cost us something in the near-term, I believe we should ban torture or anything like torture and make it very clear that we have done so. For the safety of our troops, for the consciences of those who are ordered to interrogate captured combatants, and for the future. Vice President Cheney is a symbol to many people, and not a positive one. &quot;Neocon&quot; is far from the worst thing he has been called recently! Still, while nothing is yet known about his involvement with CIA leak case, he has clearly abandoned any pretense of taking a moral high road in politics. I listened to a radio interview with Mike Wallace today, and when asked about Dan Rather, he recounted a conversation they recently had. At that time, Wallace asked Rather whether Rather ever thought of stating something like, &quot;If they go, I go,&quot; when people were being fired over the CBS News memo forgeries. And that, I realized, is what I would expect from Dick Cheney as well. The idea that he isn&#039;t going to sit back and watch his former chief of staff take the fall, but is either going to defend him if innocent, or resign along with him if not.Still, this is wartime. You and I are both young, so this is the first major war we&#039;ve seen. On top of that, it&#039;s the most detailed war coverage ever provided. I think that it is quite easy to lose perspective and to think our country may never recover, though of course we&#039;ve bounced back from worse. Is Dick Cheney a bigger shame to this nation than all previous presidents and vice presidents? I hardly think so. One thing we&#039;ve learned as a result of going to war is that in many parts of the world and for a very long time, the general opinion of the United States has been more negative than most people realized.I believe that the Bush legacy, and the legacy of Dick Cheney, will stand or fall on one thing: whether or not we win this war. I also believe that we will win this war, if we do not falter. Only time will tell.Phillip Winn is a registered Republican, but considers himself independent. He lives in Dallas, Texas, and didn&#039;t vote for President Bush in 2000, but did in 2004. He is the co-owner, designer, and technical administrator for Blogcritics.org.Eric Berlin is a registered Democrat who currently lives in Pasadena, California. Pretty predictable voting record: Gore &#039;00, Kerry &#039;04. He is the Executive Producer of Blogcritics.org.In The Middle is an attempt to focus more on what unites us than what divides us. Can two reasonable people from opposite ends of the political spectrum put aside partisanship and meet in the middle? We think so. A topic is picked, e-mails are exchanged, and the results are published here.In The Middle is a Blogcritics experiment. We&#039;re trying to talk about things civilly, and we strongly request that all commenters do the same. We seek polite comments and questions, not ideological rhetoric or personal attacks.Be passionate, think before you write, respect others, and have fun!Check out previous editions of In The Middle: 
* Bill Bennett
* Harriet Miers
* Iraq as a &quot;Media War,&quot;
* CIA Leak Case
* Supreme Court Nominee Samuel Alito, JrWe are always looking for good writers from right or left who are willing to discuss important topical issues respectfully. Please contact us or leave a comment if you are interested.&lt;div id=&quot;authorbio&quot;&gt;&lt;img alt=&quot;EBb-day&quot; src=&quot;http://myspace-489.vo.llnwd.net/01071/98/46/1071946489_l.jpg&quot; width=&quot;85&quot; height=&quot;65&quot;
style=&quot;float:left; margin:10px;border:2px solid black;&quot;/&gt;Eric Berlin is the Executive Producer of &lt;a href=&quot;http://blogcritics.org&quot;&gt;Blogcritics.org&lt;/a&gt; and publisher of &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.onlinemediacultist.com&quot;&gt;Online Media Cultist&lt;/a&gt;. He&#039;s also prone to referring to himself in the third person in author bios in an attempt to make it look like someone Less Important wrote it for him.
&lt;i&gt;Contact: dumpsterbust@gmail.com&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description>
<category>Politics</category><guid isPermaLink="false">39352@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2005 16:48:34 EST</pubDate>
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<item>
<title>In The Middle: Supreme Court Nominee Samuel Alito, Jr</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/11/03/114206.php</link>
<author>Phillip Winn</author><description>From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
Subject: Supreme Court Nominee Samuel Alito, JrWhile it is still unclear how Harriet Miers would have turned out as a Supreme Court Justice, her withdrawal last week gave President Bush an opportunity to nominate someone new. Surprising some, Bush nominated a man for the role: Samuel Alito, Jr.Alito is a judge on the Third Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals in Philadelphia, and is a graduate of Princeton University and Yale Law School. He definitely has the experience Miers lacked. By drawing from inside the judiciary, President Bush picked a man who has left a long paper trail, and there is enough there to resolve the doubts and questions that plagued Miers. Alito is an unabashed conservative.I wonder how much Bush might be counting on the fact that Alito has twice been confirmed by the Senate in the past, both time by unanimous decision. Might it look bad to vote against him as Supreme Court Justice after voting him as Appeals Court Judge? It seems like that would be a bigger issue if Democrats in the Senate try to block a vote on Alito using the filibuster. After all, a reasonable principled stand could be made, I think, by someone saying that the Supreme Court has a higher bar and therefore deserves a no-vote rather than a yes-vote. But the reasonable principled stand might ring a bit hollow if the same person is relying on political tricks to keep a vote from happening.Eric, you suggested that Miers had more to fear from conservative Republicans than she did Democrats, and you were right. With a candidate sure to win approval from conservative Republicans, what do you think the Democrats are going to do?From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI do think that there is a higher bar in gaining entry to the Supreme Court as opposed to an Appeals Court. From what I understand, lower courts don&#039;t have to deal with stare decisis, or the critical issue of whether or not to accept judicial precedents as established law. This comes into play first and  foremost with Roe v. Wade, of course, and I thought that new Chief Justice John Roberts did an exceptionally good job of handling both Republicans and Democrats on this matter.As for Judge Alito, you&#039;ve set up the equation very well, Phillip. Conservatives surprised the White House by balking at (not Judge) Harriet Miers while Democrats were able to stay on the sidelines. Now, President Bush has nominated an experienced and by all accounts qualified judge with arguably (and we&#039;ll see this argument play out, of course) ideological and possibly extremist tendencies.So, most conservatives are going to support Alito unabashedly, and will jump out of their bones in adulation if he indicates that he will approach law in the mode of conservative Justices Clarence Thomas and Antonin Scalia.This particular nomination at this particular time will be even more closely looked at than the Roberts nomination because of the balance of the court. Outgoing Justice Sandra Day O&#039;Connor &amp;mdash; who I thought was described very well recently as an &quot;open-minded conservative&quot; &amp;mdash; embodied the swing vote on many issues critical to the court. A hard right swing &amp;mdash; or any significant shift &amp;mdash; has the potential to fundamentally change the rights of all Americans. Not a small thing, indeed!But to get to your question, which I think will be the crucial question: what are the Democrats going to do?I think the decision of Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (Democrat from Nevada) to force a closed door meeting on pre-war intelligence and the lead-up to the war in Iraq is a good indication: this could be the big fight on judicial nominations that has been talked about ever since President Bush got re-elected a year ago.The Fitzgerald investigation (which produced the indictment of Vice President Cheney&#039;s Chief of Staff &quot;Scooter&quot; Libby) and several other factors &amp;mdash; the response to Katrina, a failure to move legislation on Social Security reform, and overall drooping poll numbers have and will continue to influence the nominating process. Libby&#039;s indictment will likely further embolden a newly unified Democratic front.This is a long way from saying that Harry Reid will try and force a filibuster and thus bring up the specter of the dreaded &quot;nuclear option,&quot; but I do think that there will be some very aggressive positioning, questioning, and behind-the-scenes campaigning in the coming weeks.Alito has every advantage in getting through, in other words, but there may well be a major confirmation battle in the offing.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftActually, the Appeals Court does deal with most of the same issues as the Supreme Court, including the question of settled law. It was over just such a question during Alito&#039;s tenure as an Appeals judge that he and O&#039;Connor had a rare disagreement, as he tried to decide a case in keeping with her stated philosophy in a related case, and found that she had a different opinion when it came to wives notifying husbands than she did about teenage girls notifying parents.As I said before, all of the other dancing around when it comes to Supreme Court nominations is window dressing. The real issue at hand is abortion. On that score, I believe the hard-core conservatives are missing several important clues from Alito&#039;s rulings as an Appeals Court judge that might give them less confidence than they currently seem to feel. Alito has issued and supported rulings denying restrictions on abortion and upholding access to abortion within the Third Circuit, precisely because of precedent.In fact, I would say he&#039;s as likely to vote to uphold Roe v. Wade as to overturn it, which is roughly where Justice O&#039;Connor found herself early in her service to the Court. Frankly, I&#039;m not actually sure either Roberts or Alito is as reliable an anti-Roe vote as some believe!Still, Alito will almost certainly win the nomination, despite potential misgivings from conservatives. Early signals have made it clear that Alito is a candidate worth ending the filibuster for, if that parliamentary rule is invoked to avoid a vote. His opponents may (and should) question him thoroughly and sternly, but it is hard to imagine anyone coming up with any reason to deny Alito the position other than ideological differences. Based on coverage of his rulings over the last fifteen years, he is certainly not an ideological extremist.Reid is playing hardball politics, that&#039;s for sure. Between the publicity stunt of a closed-door Senate hearing and strong words at just the right time about the withdrawal of Harriet Miers, Senator Reid is positioning himself as President Bush&#039;s chief political adversary. Dare I say he might be angling for a Presidential nomination in 2008? However, Reid himself voted for the invasion of Iraq, and that will surely color his efforts to criticize the Bush administration on the subject. In the end, hardball politics are still just politics, and won&#039;t affect anything other than poll numbers. Poll numbers which, at this point, matter more to Reid than to Bush, I think.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightIn terms of the Supreme Court as an institution, I think we can agree that as the final arbiters on the constitutionality, meaning, and interpretation of United States law, it requires nominees to pass the highest of bars. Whether or not that bar is a higher bar than for, say, an Appeals Court nominee likely depends on the individual and other factors. I would argue that replacing O&#039;Connor on this particular court raises the stakes that much higher.I think that abortion is one of the most important issues at stake, but there are many others. I might say on the Big Picture scale (and you know I love to go Big Picture if and when possible) the right to privacy might be one of the most important rights being hashed over by the court.What&#039;s potentially disturbing about Alito, however, is his penchant for conservative judicial activism. (What&#039;s ironic here, of course, is that conservatives love to rail against &quot;activist judges,&quot; when the fact is that a judge like Clarence Thomas, Love Bird of the Right, overturns federal law something like 65% of the time.)Again, going Big Picture, is the fact that Alito seems to uniformly rule against the rights of individuals in the cases that come before him. Slate, for example, points out that in many instances, Alito is more conservative than the maestro himself, Antonin Scalia: While Alito goes to conservative places Scalia won&#039;t, the more telling point is that Scalia goes to liberal places Alito won&#039;t. ... In the Washington Post, Cass Sunstein examined Alito&#039;s dissents and found them &quot;almost uniformly conservative.&quot; ... Lexis/Nexis revealed exactly one case in which Alito protected individual rights more vigorously than colleagues. That wasn&#039;t really an individual-rights case at all; it was the states&#039; rights case in which Alito would have vacated the conviction for owning a machine gun.So there are really are issues at stake here that are as important as abortion rights. Alito may or may not be an ideological extremist, but he certainly seems to be nothing less than a hard right intellectual conservative. And I think that it&#039;s absolutely proper that the Senate  thinks long and hard before changing the nature of the Supreme Court for a generation. There may well be several moderate Republicans who waver on this, I&#039;ll wager right here.On to my man Fightin&#039; Harry Reid. I really think he&#039;s to be applauded for taking a stand and allowing the Democrat party to stand up and be the feisty opposition party that it should be and that the country needs. As a New York Times editorial said today, &quot;Senator Harry Reid, the minority leader, may have been grandstanding yesterday when he forced the Senate to hold a closed session on the Iraqi intelligence, but at least he gave the issue a much-needed push.&quot;From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftI agree that the standard for entrance to the Supreme Court should be high, even the highest possible. But so high that a judge who has been unanimously approved twice by that body should suddenly face a majority vote against him? Not without a major change in his record, I would think!In fact, even his critics agree that he easily exceeds the high standards of the Court when it comes to experience, ability, and respect for the law. Which leaves, of course, ideology.It should come as no surprise that a Republican President, albeit not one known for conservatism, who has just run afoul of his own party base by nominating someone pre-approved by his political rival Senator Reid, would nominate a conservative judge. This is what the Democratic party warned about during the last two Presidential election cycles, and here it is in reality. In fact, it was mentioned during the last two off-year election cycles as well, and yet there is still a Republican majority in the Senate.I would ask, rhetorically, whether people expected President Bush to nominate a liberal judge, but in fact that is almost what he did with Harriet Miers. At least he nominated someone whose conservatives credentials were heavily suspect, and as I mentioned, someone who the Democratic party favored. That nomination now withdrawn, though, Alito seems a capable choice.With Senate elections upcoming for some members, I wish I could say I would be surprised if Democrats tried to paint Alito as an extremist, but in fact I won&#039;t be surprised at anything. Make no mistake, though, the objections to Alito are purely ideological. And of course, a Republican minority would object (and has objected) to highly-qualified liberal-leaning judicial nominees on exactly the same grounds.Picking and choosing, one can come up with a pattern to suggest Alito is an &amp;uuml;ber-conservative, or a moderate. As I have mentioned, he has supported some laws allowing abortion as an Appeals Court judge, and in my view is likely to do the same as a Supreme Court Justice.You&#039;ve got the last word this week!From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightAgain, I think that the bar is higher for the Supreme Court, and that these particular circumstances crank it up another notch or two. I also think that by throwing Miers to the (conservative) wolves and then yanking her back, President Bush and the Republicans have lost credibility on their inconsistent yet shrill demands for an &quot;up or down&quot; vote for judicial nominees. Just for the nominees they approve of, right (wink wink, nudge nudge...)?I agree with you, Phillip, that Alito seems the polar opposite of Miers in terms of experience and intellectual capacity in terms of constitutional law. To address your point about President Bush&#039;s inconsistent rationale for appointing judges to the high court, I&#039;ll point out a brilliant column by David Broder of the Washington Post, who writes: A system that veers from an accomplished and studiously non-ideological John Roberts to a marginally credentialed and often confused-sounding Harriet Miers to an intellectual and experienced Samuel Alito with pronounced ideological views is no system at all.I think it will take some time for the full story to shake out. And I hope the Senators have an open mind during the hearings to learn about Alito&#039;s judicial philosophy and how he might handle matters that came before the court. He might even feel pressure to be more forthcoming than John Roberts, who knew that he wasn&#039;t in serious danger of losing confirmation, and is in any case a master of presenting answers in the maximal positive light.Phillip, I&#039;m not sure if you object to the notion of rejecting a judicial nominee of ideological grounds. My understanding is that it is acceptable to do so if one finds the candidate outside of the mainstream of American values. This is the big question that needs to be answered, and may well determine whether we have Roberts-style picnic or a Bork-esque battle royale.It will be interesting to see how the political winds blow over the coming weeks. Critical, I think, will be the mood of the Gang of 14 and moderates on both sides. Lukewarm support from moderate Republicans (the two female Senators from Maine in particular) might embolden Democrats to go for the jugular.In his column, Broder goes on to warn that because of both Bush&#039;s weakness and the road that led to Alito&#039;s nomination, a political firestorm has &quot;at least as great&quot; a risk for the Republicans as it does the Democrats.Phillip Winn is a registered Republican, but considers himself independent. He lives in Dallas, Texas, and didn&#039;t vote for President Bush in 2000, but did in 2004. He is the co-owner, designer, and technical administrator for Blogcritics.org.Eric Berlin is a registered Democrat who currently lives in Pasadena, California. Pretty predictable voting record: Gore &#039;00, Kerry &#039;04. He is the Executive Producer of Blogcritics.org.In The Middle is an attempt to focus more on what unites us than what divides us. Can two reasonable people from opposite ends of the political spectrum put aside partisanship and meet in the middle? We think so. A topic is picked, e-mails are exchanged, and the results are published here.In The Middle is a Blogcritics experiment. We&#039;re trying to talk about things civilly, and we strongly request that all commenters do the same. We seek polite comments and questions, not ideological rhetoric or personal attacks.Be passionate, think before you write, respect others, and have fun!Previous articles from the In The Middle crew have addressed Bill Bennett, Harriet Miers, Iraq as a &quot;Media War,&quot; and the CIA Leak Case.We are always looking for good writers from right or left who are willing to discuss important topical issues respectfully. Please contact us or leave a comment if you are interested.&lt;div id=&quot;authorbio&quot;&gt;Phillip Winn is the Chief Geek for &lt;i&gt;BC Magazine&lt;/i&gt;, and a blogger since 1995. He can currently be found and followed on &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/pwinn/&quot;&gt;Twitter&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
<category>Politics</category><guid isPermaLink="false">38995@blogcritics.org</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 3 Nov 2005 11:42:06 EST</pubDate>
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<title>In the Middle: CIA Leak Case</title>
<link>http://blogcritics.org/archives/2005/10/27/123836.php</link>
<author>Eric Berlin</author><description>From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left 
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
Subject: CIA Leak CasePhillip, it&#039;s late on a Tuesday night as I write these words. Special Prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald has not yet announced the results of his two-year investigation into the outing of CIA operative Valerie Plame. But it&#039;s coming soon, as soon as Wednesday, so I think this is as good a time as any - as Washington waits and the press freaks itself out in anticipation and the President talks about &quot;background noise&quot; and some make allusions to &quot;worse than Watergate&quot; - to ask:What&#039;s it all really mean, then?A lot hinges on whether or not anyone - and particularly high ranking officials - gets indicted, obviously. If no one gets indicted, the White House breathes a huge sigh of relief and hopes that the darkest night has passed. If there are indictments, much hinges on whether or not top aides I. Lewis &quot;Scooter&quot; Libby (Vice President Cheney&#039;s Chief of Staff) and Karl &quot;Bush&#039;s Brain&quot; Rove fall in that group.If Libby, Rove, or both get indicted, it will be at the least a damaging blow to an administration that has been beset by failures (see: Social Security reform), bungles (see: Harriet Miers), and charges of incompetence (see: &quot;You&#039;re doing a hell of a job, Brownie) throughout 2005. So I ask: if there are high-level indictments, will it mean that the Bush administration will be put on trial (by the media and, to an extent, the public) for misleading the nation into war with Iraq?From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftAlready on Wednesday, I&#039;m reading that no indictments are due today, so it seems that the mystery and the tension will ratchet up a little tighter over the next day or two. The grand jury investigating the leak of Valerie Plame&#039;s name, role, and relationship to Joseph Wilson expires on Friday, so we&#039;re down to the wire.What&#039;s it all about, Alfie? In one sense, I think it is seriously &quot;inside baseball.&quot; I bet a survey of even registered voters would reveal that a miniscule percentage of people are even aware of the issues in play here, and that even fewer actually care. If indictments are brought, that could change, but for now, one has to work pretty hard to get too excited about this. The idea that this could be &quot;worse than Watergate&quot; seems to be pure political posturing on a number of levels. So far I&#039;ve seen nothing which suggests that this will even rise to the level of scandal that plagued the Clinton administration, and most of those &quot;scandals&quot; went nowhere.Consider that, for better or for worse, we have different expectations from the White House than we used to. Consider also that the Watergate scandal involved actual crimes being indisputably committed, the sorts of crimes you or I would spend time in jail for committing. I don&#039;t think that the American people are going to get too excited about the idea that someone mentioned that an ideological opponent might have had a not-so-obvious axe to grind, even if that someone is the Vice President of the United States of America. If true, it might be even be illegal, but it is hardly the sort of law that you or I would expect to encounter. If true, and if illegal, crimes should be prosecuted, but I don&#039;t expect the average person on the street to care very much. Not any more than they cared about Martha Stewart&#039;s &quot;insider trading,&quot; say. All of that said, President Bush campaigned on a platform that included &quot;restoring integrity to the White House,&quot; and in so doing I think he set a high standard for himself, a standard he has not been able to meet. He promised to hold his staffers accountable, but it is beginning to appear that when it comes to this leak, he either knew something on which he didn&#039;t act, or deliberately didn&#039;t ask questions to avoid knowing it, or that he was lied to, in which case he should act to remove the liar from whatever position he or she holds. Anything less is an about-face in his stated policy. I suspect that he will not do anything of the sort, and has therefore failed in his goal to &quot;restore integrity to the White House.&quot;From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI have to disagree with you on the &quot;inside baseball&quot; description, Phillip. While most Americans likely don&#039;t understand the specifics of the case, I believe many are aware that high level members of the government may have been involved in the outing of an undercover agent for political gain and in an effort to cover up parts of the campaign that led to the war in Iraq, most notably President Bush&#039;s famous 2003 State of Union declaration that Saddam Hussein had attempted to obtain uranium yellow cake from Niger.Therefore, there&#039;s a Perfect Storm that could erupt as early as today, Wednesday now: a government campaign to expose an undercover agent in order to cover up lies made in an effort to push us into war. That&#039;s huge stuff in my book, much much bigger than anything Whitewater could have become.In that vein, I find it laughable that some conservatives are already griping that if Fitzgerald comes back with indictments for perjury, as opposed to other crimes, that it means that there was no wrong doing. President Clinton was nearly impeached for just this: covering up an affair in the midst of an investigation into a real estate deal! And
of course, Republican Washington cheered it on, pushed it on, dreamed it all on.In any event, indictments will certainly end any kind of phase in which the public is not interested in this story (which seems impossibly hard to believe already). Bush&#039;s and Congress&#039;s poll numbers are already kerplunk in the tank, and indictments now have the real capability of setting Washington into deep freeze until the 2006 elections.So I find it interesting that you seem to think that possible crimes in the White House are &quot;not a big deal&quot; on the one hand, and yet indicate that Bush may not have lived up to a key campaign promise on the other.In the end, this case may be about the distinction between hard, clean Machiavellian politics and crossing the line. Many, and I include myself in this group, believe that Bush and his supporters have been close to or crossed this line many times in the past, from character assassinating fellow Republican John McCain in the 2000 primaries all the way through the Swift Boat nonsense of 2004.If laws were broken, those responsible should be punished. This is an administration that has hinged itself on integrity and protecting our national security. If an undercover CIA agent was exposed to advance a political agenda, it is a severe wound to the office of the presidency and our national reputation. If misleading statements were made to lead us to war, it&#039;s very possible that our government has blood on its hands.This smallish story from 2003 has the real potential to topple a presidency and make us all look long and hard on who we want in power and how we wish to be governed.Looks like I get the Big Picture award this week!What say you?From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftSomehow, and most people blame talk radio, the American people by and large developed the opinion that our last president was plagued by scandal. Misunderstandings, half-truths, and outright lies were mixed up with things that really did land people in jail, and the whole thing became huge. It is possible that something like that could happen here, but it certainly doesn&#039;t seem to have happened yet, and I think it would take an indictment of Libby, Rove, or Cheney to even have a chance of happening.Of course, I think the similarities are even more interesting than that, because so many of the attacks against President Clinton were driven by partisan rancor, and it seems from my perspective that a lot of that is true now with President Bush as well. I mentioned in last week&#039;s column that statements made in the heat of a partisan debate have a tendency to come back to haunt, and the idea that perjury is either &quot;no big deal&quot; or &quot;worth impeachment&quot; is one example. It would make me laugh if it weren&#039;t so sad!The problem here is that there are many, many unanswered questions, and an indictment won&#039;t necessarily answer most of them. Was Valerie Plame undercover? It&#039;s a matter of debate among people who should clearly know, so I have to assume partisanship is involved. Was Joseph Wilson ideologically driven? Again, it seems to be an issue, though it probably shouldn&#039;t be. Does it matter if the spirit of the law was upheld while it was technically violated? It usually doesn&#039;t, unless one has grounds to protest the wording of the law up through to the Supreme Court. What is the actual chain of information? Possibly Cheney told Libby, who told Rove and also New York Times reporter Judith Miller. Someone presumably in that chain told syndicated columnist Robert Novak, who spilled the information into the public. Did Cheney know that Plame was undercover? Did Libby? Does the law make any distinction? Indictments, if they come, will be just the beginning of a long process, and through it all, a lot more people will become involved.The problem with your vision of a Perfect Storm, as I see it, is that too many people are in the middle of it. Many leading Democrats were as involved in the lead up to the war in Iraq as Republicans, including several of the party&#039;s most likely candidates for 2008. Politically speaking, while many people would like to see President Bush pressed as hard or harder on this as President Clinton was during his term in office, the potential collateral damage may prove to be too high a price for the Democratic Party to want to pay.My distinction between the one hand and the other rests entirely on the difference between my personal opinion (which is that President Bush has already blown it by not upholding his campaign promise of integrity) and how I read the world around me (which says that most people don&#039;t really care, at least not at this point). A CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll yesterday reported an even split between those who feel that administration officials acted illegally, and those who feel that the administration officials acted legally but unethically. More importantly, in my view, is that the percentage of people who feel that the administration&#039;s ethical standards are &quot;excellent&quot; or &quot;good&quot; has fallen from nearly 75% three years ago to 51% this week.I would hope that we can elect political leaders who will avoid this kind of scandal, but I am beginning to fear that it might be impossible. The people with the integrity we claim to want simply won&#039;t run, and the ones who run, we tear apart!You&#039;ve been careful, it seems, to use terms like &quot;misleading,&quot; which I appreciate. Even so, I think that if the Bush Administration willfully misled the world, rather than falling prey to its own assumptions, they would have taken a different path. I see the situation as one in which the majority of both parties honestly believed the information they were given about Iraq as a threat, though whether we will remember that is doubtful if this eventually turns into the political circus for which some are hoping.The bottom line for me is that President Bush made a promise he has failed to fulfill, whether anything illegal was done in the end or not. Whether or not a different response to Wilson&#039;s July 2003 article would have made a difference in how our country approached Iraq, it certainly would have made a difference in how our country views this president.From: Eric Berlin @ Center-Left
To: Phillip Winn @ Center-RightI&#039;m not sure where you got your numbers from, Phillip, but according
to the Washington Post:A new USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup poll reminded the White House of the damage the CIA leak case has already inflicted: Eight in ten people surveyed said that aides had either broken the law or acted unethically.So, this story is very much on the radar for most people. And as a tense week of waiting rolls on, there are rumblings that we&#039;ll be hearing from Patrick Fitzgerald on Thursday. You&#039;ve taken the position, Phillip, that things won&#039;t be serious - or rise to the level of the Lewinsky scandal if I&#039;m reading you correctly - unless Libby, Rove, or Cheney are indicted. Well, I think the chances of that happening (Libby and likely Rove, but not Cheney) are exceedingly high. Much of the political calculations I expressed earlier relied upon this scenario, and it looks as though it will come to pass very shortly.Now, I see your point about perjury: either it&#039;s a bad thing that should be punished, or it&#039;s not a big deal. Legally speaking, it shouldn&#039;t matter if it&#039;s with regard to sex with a White House intern or blowing (if you&#039;ll pardon the pun) a CIA agent&#039;s cover to hide potentially embarrassing actions by an administration in the run-up to a major war. I take the position that it&#039;s a bad thing, particularly when the stakes are so high. President Clinton was nearly impeached because he lied under oath. The circumstances were ludicrous and the prosecutor was clearly on a partisan witch hunt, but that still doesn&#039;t make it right.I also agree (see how I&#039;m trying to find In the Middle ground, kids?) that the circumstances in the Plame Affair, as we currently understand them, are murky at best. It&#039;s up to the prosecutor - who by all accounts is apolitical and tough-as-hell - to sort out the facts and prosecute any misdeeds. I doubt that with the spotlight as bright as it is that he will turn in indictments that stand on flimsy factual evidence or legal precedent.I disagree that Democrats will take much, if any, &quot;collateral damage&quot; from this incident. Polls already show that if elections were held in November 2005, we&#039;d see Democrats trouncing Republican foes across the board. Don&#039;t forget that there are a myriad of woes riding on Republican shoulders at the moment: Iraq, high gas prices, continued fallout from Katrina, and so on.I&#039;m glad to hear you clearly state that you are disappointed in the president&#039;s leadership. I also appreciate how you parse out willful lying on the part of the Bush administration pre-invasion from &quot;falling prey to their own assumptions.&quot; This is an important point. I&#039;ll make the argument that there was a melding of these two factors. September 11, 2001 and early success in Afghanistan led to an exuberant neoconservative faction hell bent on toppling Saddam Hussein and transforming the Middle East into a democratic utopia. Three of the top neocons who held and continue to exert heavy influence over the president? Dick Cheney, Karl Rove, and Scooter Libby.This debate is just getting started and will likely continue over the coming months. Overall, I think a rehash of the why and how we got to where we are is a healthy thing.New information is going to come out over time, which will help us to put the puzzle together. For instance, Knight Ridder has a rather fascinating piece out called &quot;CIA leak illustrates selective us of intelligence on Iraq&quot;: A Knight Ridder review of the administration&#039;s arguments, its own reporting at the time and the Senate Intelligence Committee&#039;s 2004 report shows that the White House followed a pattern of using questionable intelligence, even documents that turned out to be forgeries, to support its case - often leaking classified information to receptive journalists - and dismissing information that undermined the case for war.The State of the Union speech was one of a number of instances in which Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and their aides ignored the qualms of intelligence professionals and instead relied on the claims of Iraqi defectors and other suspect sources or, in the case of Niger, the crudely forged documents.Now I leave it to you for the last word, good sir.From: Phillip Winn @ Center-Right
To: Eric Berlin @ Center-LeftAmazingly, that poll, from which I quoted earlier, doesn&#039;t report than anybody is unaware of the case. And yet The Tonight Show can send a camera crew out on the streets of Los Angeles any afternoon and round up hours of footage of people who can&#039;t remember who the Vice President is! I suspect the poll is leaving out a large group of people who responded with something like, &quot;Huh?&quot;Perjury - lying under oath - should be prosecuted, always. Lying to the American people - which it is possible Cheney has done while not under oath - isn&#039;t illegal, but based on the standards Bush has claimed to operate under, should result in Cheney stepping down. That&#039;s not me being harder on the Republican Party than the Democratic Party, that&#039;s me taking up the gauntlet President Bush threw down.As far as Democrats needing to be careful politically, I think you radically misestimate things, but time will tell. That majority of Democrats voted in favor of invading Iraq, just as Republicans did. That won&#039;t be forgotten, and efforts by Democrats to distance themselves from their votes or blame others for misinformation won&#039;t play very well with the American people. Senator Kerry&#039;s &quot;I voted against it before I voted for it&quot; is something a lot of people remember, and nobody likes it when adults act like children in trying to avoid responsibility.Yes, polls indicate that an unnamed Democrat would beat President Bush (who cannot run for re-election) right now (with no campaigning from Bush). But name a specific Democrat, and those numbers will change; they always do. Many have suggested that Bush has finally quit campaigning, since he can&#039;t be reelected. That could change, too. I&#039;d be careful about reading too much into those numbers; I seem to remember Bush being beat easily by the same standard before the 2004 election. Then the &quot;unnamed Democrat&quot; became Senator Kerry, and things weren&#039;t so close.There seems to be no question that many people, including politicians and career intelligence officials, let assumptions shape their response to intelligence. There were dissenters as there always are, of course, and since the general perception is that things are going badly, the crowd of dissenters seems to be swelling as quickly as the pool of people who attended Woodstock, whether bona fide or not. All of that forms a backdrop for the issue at hand.It is easy to say that documents turned out to be forgeries, or that intelligence was questionable in retrospect. The question that should be asked is whether they should reasonably have known that. The answer to that question, I fear, will depend more on partisan politics or the general perception of how the war is going in Iraq than on the actual facts of the case.
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