OPINION

Will Kokura's Luck Run Out For Us?

Written by Realist
Published April 01, 2008

Former CIA analyst Ray McGovern suggests that Cheney's recent visit to the Middle East was intended to deal with "the Iranian threat" before Bush-Cheney leaves office. McGovern observed, "With so much destructive power at the disposal of George W. Bush, we need to be increasingly alert to signs that additional delusionary policies are about to be executed."

While the American people are still more worried about Dancing With the Stars than they are the international crises (although they are beginning to rouse to the domestic alarm bells), this is not the case with every other nation.

Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Muallem said recently, "A prudent person must make all his calculations, especially when we have to deal with an administration which knows how to strike but does not know how to withdraw."

Withdrawal may not be the plan if the Saudis are correct. Richard Clark of opednews.com posted about a top Saudi newspaper, Okaz, reporting the Saudi government is now preparing plans to deal with "any sudden nuclear and radioactive hazards" that may arise from an attack on Iran's nuclear reactors. He quotes Chris Floyd at the Empire Burlesque web site, who points out that nothing in Saudi Arabia becomes the top news story without government approval. "That such a story should be released the day after Cheney's visit, sends a message to everyone about what's on Cheney's mind."

Hopefully King Abdullah quoted Cheney's commentary to Pat Leahy back at him in response to the news.

Floyd goes on to note that on Juan Cole's site just a few days ago, former mideast policy official William K. Polk noted the last time Cheney visited the nations of this current trip was right before the Iraq attack in 2003.

People should be extremely concerned about this revelation. but it's hardly getting any coverage. It's clear that most people have forgotten the lessons of August, 1945, when atomic weapons were first used in anger. Thankfully, not everyone has - and those who haven't understand much better than most what's at stake.

A study presented at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union in December 2006 asserted that even a small-scale, regional nuclear war could produce as many direct fatalities as all of World War II and disrupt the global climate for a decade or more.

But for the rest of you who aren't so enlightened, I've gathered a few links for you to raise your consciousness about the dangerous path the Cheney-Bush Gang is intending to travel.

Atomic Bombing of Hiroshima

The release at 08:15 (Hiroshima time) was uneventful, and the gravity bomb known as "Little Boy", a gun-type fission weapon with 60 kg (130 pounds) of uranium-235, took 57 seconds to fall from the aircraft to the predetermined detonation height about 600 meters (1,900 ft) above the city. It created a blast equivalent to about 13 kilotons of TNT. (The U-235 weapon was considered very inefficient, with only 1.38% [Approximately 600 milligrams of mass] of its material fissioning.) The radius of total destruction was about 1.6 km (1 mile), with resulting fires across 11.4 km˛ (4.4 square miles). Infrastructure damage was estimated at 90 percent of Hiroshima's buildings being either damaged or completely destroyed.
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Will Kokura's Luck Run Out For Us?
Published: April 01, 2008
Type: Opinion
Section: Politics
Filed Under: Politics: War and Terrorism, Politics: U.S., Politics: Policy, Politics: International, Politics: Government, Politics: Energy and Environment
Writer: Realist
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Comments

#1 — April 1, 2008 @ 06:31AM — bliffle

As time goes by and nuclear bombs become more available at the retail level, one might hope that human societies would become more cooperative and able to reconcile differences. But, alas, the best our Dear Leaders seem able to come up with is Full Spectrum Global Domination.

Our future is grim, I fear.

#2 — April 1, 2008 @ 10:13AM — Maurice

The victorious American military machine's blood lust was unsatiated, aided by the position of Japanese scientists who insisted that the evidence of American atomic technology was lacking, and that surrender was unthinkable. Thus, Nagasaki suffered the fate of Hiroshima:

Quoted for bullshit! Truman was Commander in Chief and the military obeyed him!

#3 — April 1, 2008 @ 12:34PM — Doug Hunter

"It's clear that most people have forgotten the lessons of August, 1945"

No they haven't. The lesson was that nuclear power can avert protracted warfare and avoid force on force conflict between nations.

Dropping the bombs on Japan was the best thing that has happened for security in the history of the planet! Since then there has not been all out war between major powers, low intensity conflicts with much lower death totals have become the norm.

#4 — April 1, 2008 @ 12:45PM — Franco

Please tell me this is an April Fools opinion piece!

This is the sort of hell Cheney-Bush wants to unleash upon Iran - and eventually, any other nation which stands up to them.

Correction

This is the sort of hell Cheney-Bush Iran wants to unleash upon Iran Chaney-Bush support for Israel - and eventually, any other nation which stands up to them.

It's the inconsequential thinking of Realist that can lead to the grater threat of nuclear war. To assume that only America would use this power is the most obtuse thinking of all.

The rational is this opinion piece is so flawed in ist logic that I can not help holding out hope that this is Realist April Fools jest.

#5 — April 1, 2008 @ 12:48PM — Doug Hunter

Also, I know its easy for a TV raised Latte sipping pacifist moron to fret over a few thousand deaths, the 4000 in Iraq or the tens of thousands from the bombs are a total outrage to those without memory or perspective.

To put some perspective, WWII killed 70,000,000 people, the vast majority of them inflicted on the allies.

Thanks to security actions like the development of nuclear weapons your ungrateful ass will never have to deal with any conflict within an order of magnitude of that. Now continue biting the hand that fed you with your spoiled childish leftist rantings.

#6 — April 1, 2008 @ 15:13PM — Dan Miller

The article is extremely well written, and the number of relevant links is simply awesome. All in all, it does a great job of stating the obvious facts that War is Hell, that a Great Big War is even worse, and that even a Teeny Tiny War involving nuclear weapons (or nasty germs or chemicals, perhaps) is even worse.

However, the underpinning thought seems to be that the one use in history of two crude atomic bombs was wicked beyond description (although the author does a great job of trying to describe it), amounting to the lowest depth to which any civilization has ever sunk, leaves me a tad underwhelmed.

Even one violent death is bad. Lots of violent deaths are even worse. Unfortunately, by 1945 it had become necessary to end the war in the Pacific. Lots of people were killing or maiming each other, on both sides. Japan (which, some may remember, attacked Pearl Harbor in 1941 and did lots of bad stuff later) was not about to surrender, conditionally or unconditionally. A massive attack on Japan using conventional forces was in the works. Such an attack on the mainland of Japan would have cost an unthinkable number of lives, both American and Japanese, and not only in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, over an extended period of time. The death toll would almost certainly have been far worse. The article does not provide any realistic basis for thinking that this would have been better.

The attack on Hiroshima and Nagasaki may well have had good effects beyond ending the war quickly and with casualties less than would have been produced by continued conventional war. During the more than half century since then, there has been sufficient reluctance to use nuclear weapons that none have been used, other than through their possession as deterrent to use by others. Until recently, nuclear weapons have been the sole province of what we like to call "civilized" countries. That is changing, and that is very troubling. To lay that problem at the feet of long dead American soldiers intent upon satisfying their unsatiated blood lust is at best misguided.

Dan Miller

#7 — April 1, 2008 @ 15:19PM — Ruvy in Jerusalem [URL]

The Realist's train appears to have derailed.

#8 — April 1, 2008 @ 16:25PM — bliffle

Regardless of all the fine words justifying any and all sides, the conclusion one must come to is that the human race will destroy itself with the unfortunate combination of Great Power and Insufficient Wit.

As it happens, it will not, apparently, be the commies and the West pulling the MAD trigger, but the Christians vs. The Muslims.

How fitting that a religious war, even more demented than a political war, will destroy us all.

#9 — April 1, 2008 @ 16:33PM — Matthew T. Sussman [URL]

Wrong. The final war will actually be the one waged between cat people and dog people.

#10 — April 1, 2008 @ 16:45PM — Dan Miller

Ruvy,

But are you in violent agreement with the derailing comments?

Dan

#11 — April 1, 2008 @ 16:57PM — Dan Miller

"Some say the world will end in fire,
some say in ice.
From what I've tasted of desire,
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice."

courtesy of Robert Frost

So, even if we don't all kill each other, and Global Warming or Global Cooling does the trick instead, it will be OK.

Dan Miller



Robert Frost

#12 — April 1, 2008 @ 21:52PM — Maurice

Regardless of all the fine words justifying any and all sides...

Eleanor Roosevelt spoke in support of this view when she said, in 1954, that Truman had "made the only decision he could," and that the bomb's use was necessary "to avoid tremendous sacrifice of American lives."

#13 — April 1, 2008 @ 22:08PM — Clavos

When did Rushdie become a fish???

#14 — April 2, 2008 @ 14:31PM — Ruvy in Jerusalem [URL]

The Realist is spot on about the likelihood of the United States attacking Iran and using nukes in the process. That is in the cards. In addition, we see war brewing like so much coffee: The Syrians are arming the border and whispers are of HizbAllah getting more and more equipment.

War by PessaH is a real possibility.

But the Realist's train derailed when he made a big stink over the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. They are not relevant to the issues at hand

#15 — April 2, 2008 @ 14:37PM — Ruvy in Jerusalem [URL]

it will not, apparently, be the commies and the West pulling the MAD trigger, but the Christians vs. The Muslims. How fitting that a religious war, even more demented than a political war, will destroy us all.

Oh, ye of little faith! Is G-d's Hand short? If I really thought this way and cowered like you do, I'd have never moved from Minnesota to Israel, and certainly would never have moved to Ma'alé Levoná. I'd be hiding like a little wimp seling Whopper sandwiches while my kids got drunk at keggers and screwed shiksas.

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