OPINION

RJ's NFL Picks, Week Thirteen

Written by RJ Elliott
Published November 28, 2007
Part of NFL Picks
page 1 | 2 | 3

RJ's Pick - Cleveland by 5

Denver 5-6 at Oakland 3-8 - 4:05 pm (Sheridan's line: Denver by 3.5)

Denver just completely blew it against the Bears last Sunday. That was a real nut-crushing kind of loss. Just totally, absolutely horrible. Meanwhile, the Raiders actually won a game last week. I hear head coach Lane Kiffin was so excited, his testicles finally descended.

RJ's Pick - Denver by 7

New York Giants 7-4 at Chicago 5-6 - 4:15 pm (Sheridan's line: New York Giants by 2)

The Giants were slaughtered at home by the Vikings last week. QB Eli Manning completed just 43% of his passes and threw four interceptions. He's had just one good outing in his last five games - and that was against Detroit's pass defense, so it almost doesn't count. The Bears somehow got a 'W' last week, despite not having a running game, a passing game, or cheerleaders.

RJ's Pick - Chicago by 4

Tampa Bay 7-4 at New Orleans 5-6 - 4:15 pm (Sheridan's line: New Orleans by 3)

This is it: If Tampa Bay wins this game, the NFC South is essentially theirs. However, I picked New Orleans to win the division, and I just know the Saints aren't going to make a liar out of me. (At least not this week...)

RJ's Pick - New Orleans by 6

Cincinnati 4-7 at Pittsburgh 8-3 - 8:15 pm (Sheridan's line: No line)

The Bengals are certainly capable of putting a lot of points up on the board, but I don't think they will against Pittsburgh. Especially on that field...

RJ's Pick - Pittsburgh by 10

*Monday, December 3, 2007*

New England 11-0 at Baltimore 4-7 - 8:30 pm (Sheridan's line: No line)

The only question I have for this one is: What will the point spread be? After the Patriots barely beat the Eagles 31-28 in a home game where they were 24-point favorites, how will the oddsmakers respond? The Ravens are pathetic; they've dropped five in a row. Will the spread be a semi-reasonable 15 points? Or an eye-popping 25? We'll find out soon enough...

RJ's Pick - New England by 29

(If you're interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan's Odds and ESPN's NFL "Expert" Picks.)

2007 Weekly Results
Week One - 11-5
Week Two - 9-7
Week Three - 10-6
Week Four - 7-7
Week Five - 9-5
Week Six - 10-3
Week Seven - 9-5
Week Eight - 10-3
Week Nine - 9-5
Week Ten - 7-7
Week Eleven - 10-6
Week Twelve - 10-6

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RJ Elliott is a graduate student at the University Of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. He is ambivalent about the names "Trig" and "Piper."
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RJ's NFL Picks, Week Thirteen
Published: November 28, 2007
Type: Opinion
Section: Sports
Filed Under: Sports: Football (American)
Part of a feature: NFL Picks
Writer: RJ Elliott
RJ Elliott's BC Writer page
RJ Elliott's personal site
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Comments

#1 — November 28, 2007 @ 12:28PM — eastcoastlb

I have the NFL network! $1.99/month special from Comcast, and you get a couple extra sports channel.

FEELEY, FEELEY, FEELEY!!!

#2 — November 28, 2007 @ 18:50PM — RJ [URL]

UPDATED LINES:

Miami by 1 over the Jets

San Diego by 5 over the Chiefs

Philadelphia by 3 over the Seahawks

Arizona vs. Cleveland - Pick 'em

Pittsburgh by 7.5 over the Bengals

New England by 20 over the Ravens

(Still no line for the Saint Louis vs. Atlanta game...)

#3 — November 28, 2007 @ 23:56PM — alessandro

I want to say Packers badly over the Cowboys. But the Cowboys seem to be a better all-around better offense and they are playing in Dallas. Logically, you have to go with Dallas in this toss up. But since I am an Eagles fan I will go with Green Bay.

#4 — November 29, 2007 @ 00:27AM — DOM @ HSU

like the picks this week... as for tmrw..Dallas all the way... mark my words WR patrick crayton is going to be all over the play book.

#5 — November 29, 2007 @ 11:06AM — eastcoastlb

Will the Cowboys cover the spread?

#6 — November 29, 2007 @ 16:07PM — sierra [URL]

OK, still on a limb... and I'm well aware that I'm a newbie and no one knows me, but love to add my $.02 to anything (when did they do away with the cent symbol?).
GB (only cuz I detest Dallas so), CAR, IND, KC, MIA, MN, TB, PHI, StL, HOU, WAS, AZ, DEN, NYG, PIT, NE

#7 — November 29, 2007 @ 19:00PM — DOM @ HSU

I think GB will struggle with putting up points in this game. I say Dallas covers 7.. i would feel much more comfortable with a 6 pt tease though :)

#8 — November 29, 2007 @ 19:05PM — DOM @ HSU

one thing it shouldnt be eastcoast is a blow out.. i would take GB with the 7

#9 — November 29, 2007 @ 19:26PM — DOM @ HSU

110-66 overall..

DALLAS
ST. LOUIS
WASHINGTON: the 4 teams that buff beat were below average..

DETROIT: If you've looked at the Vikes schedule you'll see they got a great shot at the post season.. Detriot is just flat out due for a win..
what a game.

TENNESSEE
INDIANAPOLIS
MIAMI
SD
PHILLY
CAROLINA
ARIZONA: browns will go to post season. lose here.
DENVER
CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
PITTSBURGH
NE: Did anyone see the ALLEN took Baltimore? lol what a douche...





#10 — November 30, 2007 @ 11:10AM — RJ [URL]

Final Score:

Dallas 37, GB 27 - RJ 1-0

#11 — December 1, 2007 @ 16:29PM — alessandro

Saint Louis, Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis, Miami, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Denver, Pittsburgh, New England, Tennessee, San Diego, Chicago, New Orleans, San Francisco

#12 — December 2, 2007 @ 03:02AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final lines:

ST. LOUIS by 3 over Atlanta

WASHINGTON by 6 over Buffalo

MINNESOTA by 3½ over Detroit

TENNESSEE by 4 over Houston

INDIANAPOLIS by 7 over Jacksonville

MIAMI by 1 over New York Jets

San Diego by 5½ over KANSAS CITY

PHILADELPHIA by 3 over Seattle

CAROLINA by 2½ over San Francisco

NEW ORLEANS by 3 over Tampa Bay

ARIZONA - PICK 'EM - Cleveland

Denver by 3½ over OAKLAND

New York Giants by 2 over CHICAGO

PITTSBURGH by 7½ over Cincinnati

New England by 20 over BALTIMORE

#13 — December 2, 2007 @ 03:10AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Looking at the "expert" picks, not a single one picked KC over SD...that would be quite an upset pick for me if the Chiefs can pull out a win...

#14 — December 2, 2007 @ 03:21AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

RJ's ATS record, week-by-week:

Week One - 4-11-1
Two - 6-10-0
Three - 9-5-2
Four - 10-4-0
Five - 7-6-1
Six - 8-3-2
Seven - 6-8-0
Eight - 10-3-0
Nine - 7-7-0
Ten - 7-6-1
Eleven - 6-9-1
Twelve - 8-8-0

Overall - 88-80-8

#15 — December 2, 2007 @ 14:37PM — DOM @ HSU

lions allowing 28 pts in 2Q... wow..


an upset would be DOM picking SF last week..

KC beating SD at arrowhead.. not so far-fetched...

#16 — December 2, 2007 @ 14:52PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

The Lions look horrible...this is a make-or-break game for them, too... :-/

#17 — December 2, 2007 @ 16:13PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Minnesota 42(!), Detroit 10 - RJ 1-1

Carolina 31, SF 14 - RJ 1-2

Buffalo 17, Washington 16 - RJ 2-2 (and I nailed the spread!)

#18 — December 2, 2007 @ 16:14PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Seattle 28, Eagles 24 - RJ 3-2

Colts 28, Jaguars 25 - RJ 4-2 (and I nailed the spread!)

#19 — December 2, 2007 @ 16:15PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Tennessee 28, Houston 20 - RJ 4-3

SD 24, KC 10 - RJ 4-4

Jets 40, Miami 13 - RJ 4-5

#20 — December 2, 2007 @ 16:17PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Score:

Rams 28, Falcons 16 - RJ 5-5

#21 — December 2, 2007 @ 16:20PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" through ten games:

Wickersham 5-5
Salisbury 7-3
Hoge 5-5
Jaworski 7-3
Schlereth 6-4
Allen 5-5
Mortensen 5-5
Golic 6-4
Accuscore 7-3

#22 — December 2, 2007 @ 17:12PM — DOM @ HSU

WOW Joe Gibbs blew it for washington... washington was supposed to win that game.. for the fans and for Taylor..

#23 — December 2, 2007 @ 19:44PM — DOM @ HSU

muahahahaha.. go tampa..

#24 — December 3, 2007 @ 01:53AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Scores:

Steelers 24, Bengals 10 - RJ 6-5

TB 27, NO 23 - RJ 6-6

Giants 21, Bears 16 - RJ 6-7

Arizona 27, Cleveland 21 - RJ 6-8

Oakland 34, Denver 20 - RJ 6-9

Lucky Week 13 is now officially my first losing week of the season. Hooray for me.

#25 — December 3, 2007 @ 01:56AM — RJ Elliott [URL]

ESPN's NFL "experts" through 15 games:

Wickersham 7-8
Salisbury 9-6
Hoge 6-9
Jaworski 10-5
Schlereth 9-6
Allen 7-8
Mortensen 7-8
Golic 9-6
Accuscore 8-7

#26 — December 3, 2007 @ 23:49PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Final Score:

NE 27, Ravens 24 (!) - RJ 7-9

#27 — December 3, 2007 @ 23:54PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

A horrific week against the spread as well: 5-11

#28 — December 4, 2007 @ 00:05AM — Mark Saleski [URL]

ok, i said something a while back about seeing the weirdest segment of a football game ever...i take it back.

THAT ending was definitely the weirdest.

#29 — December 4, 2007 @ 23:49PM — alessandro

Baltimore complains; but they did not close the deal. You MUST be ruthless with teams like the Patriots or else they will make you pay. They can have one chance all game and still beat you. We see this in so many sports with great teams. It's not just about dominance but how you overcome days where you are meant to lose but win nonetheless. The mental aspect is often overlooked. The Pats never lose their mental capacity; other teams do at the worst possible moment.

#30 — December 5, 2007 @ 22:13PM — RJ Elliott [URL]

Week 14 is up!

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