RJ's NFL Picks, Week Thirteen
Published November 28, 2007
I went 10-6 last week. That puts me at 111-65 for the season. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.
(Note: This week's column, like last week's column, will be rather short due to several factors - a Thursday game, the author having final exams to study for, and the author being in the process of moving. Please submit any and all complaints and/or hate mail to Blogcritics Magazine Sports Editor Matt Sussman. Bonus points for especially imaginative ethnic slurs.)
Here are my picks for the NFL's Week 13:
*Thursday, November 29, 2007*
RJ'S GAME OF THE WEEK THAT YOU WON'T BE ABLE TO SEE BECAUSE IT'S ON THE NFL NETWORK, WHICH OUGHT TO REALLY GRIND YOUR GEARS: Green Bay 10-1 at Dallas 10-1 - 8:15 pm (Sheridan's line: Dallas by 7)
Dallas has won five in a row, and Green Bay has won six straight. The Cowboys are 5-1 at home, and the Packers are 5-0 on the road. The winner of this matchup will almost certainly wind up with home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. The loser will have to console themselves with a playoff bye and a Divisional Round home game. I think it'll be close.
RJ's Pick - Dallas by 3
*Sunday, December 2, 2007*
Atlanta 3-8 at Saint Louis 2-9 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: No line)
This one is a real yawner. The Rams have been playing pretty well since their bye week, so I predict they'll get the win here.
RJ's Pick - Saint Louis by 7
Buffalo 5-6 at Washington 5-6 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Washington by 6)
After having clawed their way back into the playoff hunt, the Bills have been humiliated in their last two outings. Meanwhile, the Redskins have lost three straight, and now one of their star defensive backs, Sean Taylor, has been murdered. (Apparently - and this was news to me - a severed femoral artery isn't the kind of injury you can just walk off.) This has been a tragic season for both teams, with Bills TE Kevin Everett having suffered a severe neck injury in the opening week. Anyway, this one could go either way, but I like the upset.
RJ's Pick - Buffalo by 1
Detroit 6-5 at Minnesota 5-6 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Minnesota by 3)
The Lions have lost three in a row, yet would still make the playoffs if the season ended today. (You gotta love the NFC!) The Vikings have won two in a row, and rookie running back/superhero Adrian Peterson is expected to be healthy enough to play this week. A loss for either team would almost certainly doom their postseason hopes. And I'm a Lions fan, so y'all know what I'm about to do.
RJ's Pick - Detroit by 4
Houston 5-6 at Tennessee 6-5 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Tennessee by 4)
RJ Elliott is a graduate student studying Criminal Justice at the University Of Central Florida. His likes include nature, sports, and pierced blondes. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and lead-tainted Chinese imports. He is ambivalent about Angelina Jolie.
- RJ's NFL Picks, Week Thirteen
- Published: November 28, 2007
- Type: Opinion
- Section: Sports
- Filed Under: Sports: Football (American)
- Part of a feature: NFL Picks
- Writer: RJ Elliott
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UPDATED LINES:
Miami by 1 over the Jets
San Diego by 5 over the Chiefs
Philadelphia by 3 over the Seahawks
Arizona vs. Cleveland - Pick 'em
Pittsburgh by 7.5 over the Bengals
New England by 20 over the Ravens
(Still no line for the Saint Louis vs. Atlanta game...)
I want to say Packers badly over the Cowboys. But the Cowboys seem to be a better all-around better offense and they are playing in Dallas. Logically, you have to go with Dallas in this toss up. But since I am an Eagles fan I will go with Green Bay.
like the picks this week... as for tmrw..Dallas all the way... mark my words WR patrick crayton is going to be all over the play book.
Will the Cowboys cover the spread?
OK, still on a limb... and I'm well aware that I'm a newbie and no one knows me, but love to add my $.02 to anything (when did they do away with the cent symbol?).
GB (only cuz I detest Dallas so), CAR, IND, KC, MIA, MN, TB, PHI, StL, HOU, WAS, AZ, DEN, NYG, PIT, NE
I think GB will struggle with putting up points in this game. I say Dallas covers 7.. i would feel much more comfortable with a 6 pt tease though :)
one thing it shouldnt be eastcoast is a blow out.. i would take GB with the 7
110-66 overall..
DALLAS
ST. LOUIS
WASHINGTON: the 4 teams that buff beat were below average..
DETROIT: If you've looked at the Vikes schedule you'll see they got a great shot at the post season.. Detriot is just flat out due for a win..
what a game.
TENNESSEE
INDIANAPOLIS
MIAMI
SD
PHILLY
CAROLINA
ARIZONA: browns will go to post season. lose here.
DENVER
CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
PITTSBURGH
NE: Did anyone see the ALLEN took Baltimore? lol what a douche...
Saint Louis, Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis, Miami, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Denver, Pittsburgh, New England, Tennessee, San Diego, Chicago, New Orleans, San Francisco
Final lines:
ST. LOUIS by 3 over Atlanta
WASHINGTON by 6 over Buffalo
MINNESOTA by 3½ over Detroit
TENNESSEE by 4 over Houston
INDIANAPOLIS by 7 over Jacksonville
MIAMI by 1 over New York Jets
San Diego by 5½ over KANSAS CITY
PHILADELPHIA by 3 over Seattle
CAROLINA by 2½ over San Francisco
NEW ORLEANS by 3 over Tampa Bay
ARIZONA - PICK 'EM - Cleveland
Denver by 3½ over OAKLAND
New York Giants by 2 over CHICAGO
PITTSBURGH by 7½ over Cincinnati
New England by 20 over BALTIMORE
Looking at the "expert" picks, not a single one picked KC over SD...that would be quite an upset pick for me if the Chiefs can pull out a win...
RJ's ATS record, week-by-week:
Week One - 4-11-1
Two - 6-10-0
Three - 9-5-2
Four - 10-4-0
Five - 7-6-1
Six - 8-3-2
Seven - 6-8-0
Eight - 10-3-0
Nine - 7-7-0
Ten - 7-6-1
Eleven - 6-9-1
Twelve - 8-8-0
Overall - 88-80-8
lions allowing 28 pts in 2Q... wow..
an upset would be DOM picking SF last week..
KC beating SD at arrowhead.. not so far-fetched...
The Lions look horrible...this is a make-or-break game for them, too... :-/
Final Scores:
Minnesota 42(!), Detroit 10 - RJ 1-1
Carolina 31, SF 14 - RJ 1-2
Buffalo 17, Washington 16 - RJ 2-2 (and I nailed the spread!)
Final Scores:
Seattle 28, Eagles 24 - RJ 3-2
Colts 28, Jaguars 25 - RJ 4-2 (and I nailed the spread!)
Final Scores:
Tennessee 28, Houston 20 - RJ 4-3
SD 24, KC 10 - RJ 4-4
Jets 40, Miami 13 - RJ 4-5
ESPN's NFL "experts" through ten games:
Wickersham 5-5
Salisbury 7-3
Hoge 5-5
Jaworski 7-3
Schlereth 6-4
Allen 5-5
Mortensen 5-5
Golic 6-4
Accuscore 7-3
WOW Joe Gibbs blew it for washington... washington was supposed to win that game.. for the fans and for Taylor..
muahahahaha.. go tampa..
Final Scores:
Steelers 24, Bengals 10 - RJ 6-5
TB 27, NO 23 - RJ 6-6
Giants 21, Bears 16 - RJ 6-7
Arizona 27, Cleveland 21 - RJ 6-8
Oakland 34, Denver 20 - RJ 6-9
Lucky Week 13 is now officially my first losing week of the season. Hooray for me.
ESPN's NFL "experts" through 15 games:
Wickersham 7-8
Salisbury 9-6
Hoge 6-9
Jaworski 10-5
Schlereth 9-6
Allen 7-8
Mortensen 7-8
Golic 9-6
Accuscore 8-7
ok, i said something a while back about seeing the weirdest segment of a football game ever...i take it back.
THAT ending was definitely the weirdest.
Baltimore complains; but they did not close the deal. You MUST be ruthless with teams like the Patriots or else they will make you pay. They can have one chance all game and still beat you. We see this in so many sports with great teams. It's not just about dominance but how you overcome days where you are meant to lose but win nonetheless. The mental aspect is often overlooked. The Pats never lose their mental capacity; other teams do at the worst possible moment.
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I have the NFL network! $1.99/month special from Comcast, and you get a couple extra sports channel.
FEELEY, FEELEY, FEELEY!!!