RJ's NFL Picks, Week Nine
Published October 31, 2007
I went 10-3 last week. That puts me at 75-41 for the season. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL's Week Nine:
Sunday, November 4, 2007
Arizona 3-4 at Tampa Bay 4-4 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Tampa Bay by 3½)
Arizona had a bye last week. The Cardinals have lost two in a row, and they are just 1-3 on the road this season. Tampa Bay lost last week to Jacksonville. The Buccaneers have also lost two straight, but have a 3-1 record at home. The team that loses this game will have really hurt their chances of playing in the postseason.
RJ's Pick - TAMPA BAY BY 6
Carolina 4-3 at Tennessee 5-2 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Tennessee by 4½)
Carolina lost to the Colts last week. All four of their wins so far this season have come on the road. They've had some really bad luck at the quarterback position, with Jake Delhomme out for the year, and both David Carr and Vinny Testaverde hobbled by injury. The way things are going, undrafted rookie Matt Moore might be starting under center before the season's out. Tennessee beat Oakland last week. They've won two in a row, and are 2-1 at home. I expect a low-scoring game.
RJ's Pick - TENNESSEE BY 2
Cincinnati 2-5 at Buffalo 3-4 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Pick 'em)
The Bengals lost to Pittsburgh last week. They've given up the third-most points in the NFL. The only two teams that have allowed more points are the winless Dolphins and Rams, both of which have played one more game than Cincinnati. They are 0-3 on the road. The Bills beat the Jets last week for their second win in a row. They've scored the fewest points in the AFC (for a comparison, the Patriots have scored almost three-and-a-half times as many points, and the Colts more than double). Trent Edwards is still injured, so J.P. Losman will get the start this week. I expect an explosion (relatively speaking) of offense from the Bills - at least 20 points.
RJ's Pick - BUFFALO BY 3
Denver 3-4 at Detroit 5-2 - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line: Detroit by 3)
Denver lost to Green Bay at home in overtime last week on MNF. They've already played five home games and just two away games, but are under .500 at 3-4. RB Travis Henry is likely to sit out this game with a rib injury. The Broncos have two of the top CBs in the league in Champ Bailey and Dre' Bly (a former Lion), but they are both recovering from injuries. Detroit beat the Bears last week in Chicago. They've won two in a row and are 3-0 at home. Jon Kitna hasn't thrown a TD since Week Five, and he's up against a solid pass defense this week. But RB Kevin Jones should easily have 100+ yards against the league's 32nd-ranked run defense.
RJ Elliott is a graduate student at the University Of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. He is ambivalent about the names "Trig" and "Piper."
- RJ's NFL Picks, Week Nine
- Published: October 31, 2007
- Type: News
- Section: Sports
- Filed Under: Sports: Football (American)
- Part of a feature: NFL Picks
- Writer: RJ Elliott
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Comments on this articleComments
The Pats will eat the Colts.
Nothing else matters.
hoy crap love the quick publish.. i'll post tmrw
As long as Braylon Edwards has 3 touchdowns and 150 receiving yards against the Seagulls, I'll be happy (Hey, I'm a fantasy football floozy!).
Nah. No I won't. I still want a win. But you are right about the Browns and their opponents...
Use The Force, Braylon!
74-42 overall... looks like this week is going to be the most exciting of the season..
TB: I would be very surprised if arizona wins
TENN: doubt carolina can overcome their struggles
CINN: RB Rudi Johnson should be back after missing the past four games for CINN.. this game is a make or break for the bengals.. i expect it to be tight.
DEN: RB Kevin Jones running for 100+ yds wont be enough. i just dont think this is a good match up for detroit.
GB: even though KC is fresh coming off a bye.. i just don't think they're going to stop the big plays.
JACKSONVILLE: for the jags to pull off what they did last week.. i give them the respect.
SD: I expect to be closer than people think.. vikes havn't won a home game since week 1.
SF: Im going with the better potential
WAS: If Washington shows up, this could be a blowout.
CLEVELAND BROWNS.... Ok what RJ fails to mention is WHO Seattle has played... TB ARI SF CIN STL PITS and NO.. ok so thats not too bad right? WRONG they got shut out against PITTS, and lost to ARI and NO. so what does that leave??? TB SF CIN and STL.. man those are some stellar teams... oh also SF was the only team they've beaten on the road.. WOW.. Im taking the browns.. who are the better team.
OAKLAND: Josh McCownn is back in the line up.. im going with a rare oakland win
PATRIOTS: yes the colts are a great team... I just feel uncomfortable going against a team that is favored by 5.5 (current lines) over 7-0!! INDY-FREAKIN-APOLIS!! AT INDIANAPOLIS!!!
DALLAS: as much as PHILLY needs this game to actually get back to 500 and have a shot at the post season.. i don't see them overcoming a bigger better stronger and fresh-off-the-bye Dallas team.
PITS: before you bet the lot.. remember that baltimore is coming off a bye, and more importantly #2 in stopping the run.. Pitts passing game is 23rd in the league, but they'll have to do better than that come monday night..
Braylon Edwards is a stud. But what else would you expect from a Detroit native who played college football at Michigan? ;-)
Oakland is a phenomenal pick for dudes still in suicide leagues.
Hmmm...looks like all of the "experts" at ESPN are picking the Raiders too...
Oh well. I'll stick with my pick.
UPDATE: Cincinnati is now favored by 1 over Buffalo...FYI...
What's all this sissy talk about the Pats running up the score by all these former players and experts?
Here's a thought: how's about TEAMS STOP the Pats.
Tampa Bay, Tennessee, Buffalo, Detroit, Green Bay, Jacksonville, San Diego, Atlanta, Washington, Seattle, Oakland, New England, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh
...and New England will win 56-21. They will run up the score to piss off all the little girlie men who can't take the heat.
Kellen Clemens is having a good game.. damn i should of took the jets..
New England:
Any questions?
go pats
The Theory sez:
"Pittsburgh over Baltimore. Because I hate Baltimore."
how sure are we on Pitt winning by more than 9
Final Scores:
TB 17, Arizona 10 - RJ 1-0
Titans 20, Carolina 7 - RJ 2-0
Bills 33, Bengals 21 - RJ 3-0
Lions 44(!), Denver 7 - RJ 4-0
GB 33, KC 22 - RJ 4-1
NO 41, Jags 24 - RJ 5-1
Vikes 35, SD 17 - RJ 5-2
Atlanta 20, SF 16 - RJ 6-2
Redskins 23, Jets 20 [in OT] - RJ 7-2
Cleveland 33, Seattle 30 - [in OT] - RJ 7-3
Houston 24, Oakland 17 - RJ 8-3
NE 24, Colts 20 - RJ 8-4
Dallas 38, Eagles 17 - RJ 8-5
Steelers 38, Ravens 7 - RJ 9-5
how sure are we on Pitt winning by more than 9
Pretty sure...
I was just 7-7 ATS this week...
Here is how ESPN's NFL "experts" fared in Week Nine:
Wickersham 8-6
Salisbury 8-6
Hoge 10-4
Jaworski 9-4
Schlereth 8-6
Allen 5-9
Mortensen 5-9
Golic 7-7
Accuscore 9-5
Here is where we stand through nine weeks:
Jaworski 85-37
Schlereth 86-44
RJ Elliott 84-46
Hoge 84-46
Accuscore 81-49
Salisbury 80-50
Mortensen 80-50
Wickersham 78-51
Golic 74-55
Allen 72-58
I'm 69-51. 77%.
Hey, that's higher than my high school average.
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Thanks for the quick publish!