NFL Picks of a Thoughtful Fool, Super Bowl Edition
Published February 02, 2006
Everyone is talking about this being Jerome's last season, but I'm not so sure. No, he's not a starter anymore, but he's still deadly in short yardage situations and he's got to be about the best guy in the world to have in your locker room. If the Lions were smart, they'd sign him for a year. Even if he only carried 5 or 6 times a game he'd be huge in the feel good department, and let's face it, with Mike Martz as the offensive coordinator they'll need a jolly guy to balance him out.
If the game follows the pattern of the past few weeks, however, the Bus will likely not play a major role except to give the sideline cameras a big target. Someway, somehow, on their way to the Super Bowl, the Pittsburgh Steelers suddenly became a passing team — and quite a good one at that. It's been an amazing transformation to watch and is probably more than a little responsible for their waxing of the 1, 2, and 3 seeds in the AFC.
Let me be the 347th person to point out how scary good Ben Roethlisbergermeister has been. Not just in these last few games either. According to Football Outsiders, Big Ben has been the third ranked QB in the league (based on DVOA) in both his first two years. That's right: This has been Ben's sophomore slump year. You'd think a second-year QB in his early twenties might be a little overwhelmed by all the hoopla, but Ben has keeping his head on straight and doing better than me at keeping up on his blog, although I suspect at some point this week — probably when he gets over to Windsor — he'll show the world how he can drink like a champion.
Well, he had better be especially good versus Seattle, because the Seahawks can stop the run and the Steelers running game has actually been little more than mediocre. When the Steelers have the ball, the big issue will be how well the Seahawks can contain the Steelers passing game. The Seahawks pass defense has been their most glaring weakness. Yes, I know they shut down Steve Smith, but really, how hard was it to figure that out? Can you see Mike Holmgren watching the film of the Carolina-Chicago game and getting a full-on Dick Vermeil-quality scrunchy face every time he saw Steve Smith covered one-on-one?
The most interesting aspect of this game will be when the Seahawks try to run the ball. Pittsburgh has the second ranked run defense (again, based on DVOA), but the Seahawks have beaten both the Redskins and the Giants, each of whom has a top five run defense also. In contrast, Pittsburgh stopped Denver's top ranked rushing game just two weeks ago. Whether the Steelers can stop the run may decide the game.
- NFL Picks of a Thoughtful Fool, Super Bowl Edition
- Published: February 02, 2006
- Type: News
- Section: Sports
- Filed Under: Sports: Football (American)
- Part of a feature: NFL Picks of a Thoughtful Fool
- Writer: David Mazzotta
- David Mazzotta's BC Writer page
- David Mazzotta's personal site
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Comments
And no sooner do I submit this than the Mike Martz deal goes sour. Good ole dependable Lions; they always find a way to stick it to me.
Perhaps they could make an 11th hour deal with Moses Moreno?
Great. Thanks.
Dave, great run-down.
I'm actually anticipating one hell of a game, but that's mainly because my wife is from Pittsburgh and I dearly want to see her boys win "One For The Thumb." When you care, really care, about the outcome of a game, not until the score gets to 42-3 do you start to unclench. That's the way it works for me at least. My doctor prescribed 148 ounces of 4.5% ethyl alcohol in a malt suspension for this malady.
Anybody want to start a line on how long it takes from kickoff for the cameras to catch Bill Cowher mouthing the word "m***er f***er"?
Do not let me fly to Denver! I repeat: Do not let me fly to Denver! OMG, could it BE any worse???
And I happen to like Dancing With The Stars, except Jerry Rice's quick-step left much to be desired.
Perhaps in two years they could draft Michigan wideout Mario Manningham?
Thank-you for your positive remarks and insights on the city of detroit. Please dont bless us with your presence
GFY......................Perry S. Wyatt Jr.
Great stuff, David. You're one of the better writers on BC.
Oh. Almost forgot:
SHARK'S PICK:
Fat guys on steroids by 13.
~Bet on it!
So the Steelers take it despite a substandard game from their defense.
The Seahawks played splendidly but pissed away all their scoring chances, confirming what many of us have suspected all year: they are lacking in toughness -- mental toughness in this case. And I'm afraid it starts with the head coach who called some unbelievably nonsensical plays.
So I end the season right about the game, right about the first quarter winner, and technically right about the over/under although my bet went bad because I felt the need to get cute about it. (Let's leave the Knicks out of it, shall we?)
One more question. GFY stands for Good For You, doesn't it?
Correction: So the Steelers are given it by the referees despite a substandard game from their defense.
If anyone doubts Shark's Grand Unified Theory that all professional sports are FIXED, I present Superbowl ex-el as prime evidence.
...Oh... and the Fat Guys On Steroids won by 11.
I missed by 2 points.
=====
Bonus stock tip o' the day:
Budweiser:
SELL
quick.







You had me at "scrunchy-face."