OPINION

Rehnquist to Retire?

Written by Art Green
Published July 08, 2005

Matt Drudge has on his site that the "media on standby after growing reports Supreme Court Chief Justice Rehnquist is handing in his resignation."

With Sandra Day O'Connor's retirement last week, and if Rehnquist is going to retire sometime in the very near future, that will give Bush three picks: two replacements for an associate justice and a pick for the new Chief Justice.

Robert Novak's newest article talks about how George Bush might be the biggest obstacle to a "conservative court."

Conservatives who have spent more than a decade planning for this moment to change the balance of power on the Supreme Court are reeling from blows delivered by two dissimilar political leaders: Edward M. Kennedy and George W. Bush. Sen. Kennedy has succeeded with the news media in establishing a new standard of ''mainstream conservatism'' for a justice. President Bush has put forth ''friendship'' as a qualification for being named to the high court.

Bush is by far the bigger obstacle in the way of a conservative court. While Kennedy's ploy presents a temporary problem, Bush's stance could be fatal. The right's morale was devastated by the president's comments in a USA Today telephone interview published on the newspaper's front page Tuesday: ''Al Gonzales is a great friend of mine. When a friend gets attacked, I don't like it.''

Bush is a stubborn man, who sounded like he might really nominate Attorney General Alberto Gonzales in the face of deep and broad opposition from the president's own political base.

Adding to the tension is word from court sources that ailing Chief Justice William Rehnquist also will announce his retirement before the week is over. That would enable Bush to play this game: Name one justice no less conservative than Rehnquist, and name Gonzales, whose past record suggests he would replicate retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor on abortion and possibly other social issues. Thus, the present ideological orientation of the court would be unchanged, which would suit the left just fine.

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Rehnquist to Retire?
Published: July 08, 2005
Type: Opinion
Section: Politics
Writer: Art Green
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Comments

#1 — July 8, 2005 @ 22:29PM — RJ [URL]

The Gang of 14 is the crucial test in the upcoming Senate hearings on the USSC vacancy (or vacancies).

If the 7 Democrats decide that a particular nominee is "extraordinary" and therefore support a filibuster, will the 7 Republicans have the stones to end the Senate's filibuster powers for judicial nominees?

That, I think, is the key question. There is little question that all of Bush's nominees would win a simple up-or-down vote. But will they be allowed to hold such a vote?

Interesting times ahead...

#2 — July 8, 2005 @ 22:32PM — Silas Kain [URL]

Somehow, I still have the feeling that G.W. Bush is going to make a thoughtful decision that won't be as devisive as everyone expects. Depending on who he nominates to replace Justice O'Connor, I may even support Justice Scalia succeeding Justice Rehnquist. I just can't see this President creating a firestorm on this one unless, of course, he needs to divert attention away from Iraq, from the economy and Karl Rove.

Damn, on second thought, we're screwed.

#3 — July 8, 2005 @ 23:11PM — RJ [URL]

The economy is booming, SK...

#4 — July 9, 2005 @ 08:31AM — Silas Kain [URL]

Tell that to the citizens of Buffalo, RJ.

#5 — July 10, 2005 @ 00:10AM — RJ [URL]

Lowest unemployment rate in 4 years. Strong GDP growth. Declining budget deficit, despite no tax increases and the additional costs of the War On Terror.

Our economy is booming, particularly when compared to, say, Germany or France... ;-)

#6 — July 10, 2005 @ 00:16AM — Temple Stark [URL]

I'm sorry RJ but you are dreaming. To name just one factor look at the number of people who dropped off the dole line, and therefore are no longer counted as unemployed.

Look at health insusrance where people who have health insurance can't afford the prescriptions and some of the treatments.

I'm more than thrilled your doing great but you can't project that on the country as a whole.

And back on topic - have we even confirmed that Rehnquist has tendered his resignation?

#7 — July 10, 2005 @ 00:19AM — Matthew T. Sussman [URL]

I say they all retire and be replaced with TV judges.

Schiendlin.
Brown.
Lane.
Mathis.
Wapner.

...Reinhold?

#8 — July 10, 2005 @ 00:58AM — RJ [URL]

"I'm sorry RJ but you are dreaming."

Name one of the FACTS I pointed out that was from a "dream sequence" ...

#9 — July 10, 2005 @ 02:47AM — Justene [URL]

My eyes tend to glaze over when we economics but it seems to me that when my Joint Economic Committee of the Senate emails come in, they keep reporting an increase in nonfarm jobs. That tells me that it's booming and not obscuring the permanently unemployed. But then my eyes still glaze over at economics.

#10 — July 10, 2005 @ 06:08AM — Silas Kain [URL]

Talk to me in dollar$ and sen$e. What percentage of job growth translated into personal economic growth? How many Americans who are in the lower middle class have had to take a cut in pay and/or health benefits in the last two years? For every job that is being filled does it replace a lost job at the same pay scale? How many new employees did WalMart hire? There's a high paying company - for Taiwanese factory workers.

It seems to me that the dramatic increase in federal spending due to the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have had to had a direct negative impact on this economy. Numbers can be manipulated to suit the needs of anyone who interprets them. This economy may seem to be rebounding on the surface but it is fragile at best. The threat of continuing rising energy costs combined with extended defense appropriations threaten the outlook for year's end. The number of people who stopped looking for work in June were NOT counted as unemployed and that figure rose to 240,000. And, finally, manufacturing jobs remain weak as the dollar struggles to maintain strength in the global market. We may have dipped to the lowest unemployment rate since 9/11 but we're growing at half the pace we grew in the 90's.

But, economic debate is boring unless the unemployment rate rises so high that people start paying attention. We don't have that 'plan for a rainy day' mentality. We want the quick fix, the instant gratification and to hell with outlooks for where we'll be a year or two from now. Americans have a terrible record of being proactive as opposed to reactive.

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