Insightfuly, entertaining and thoughtful analysis. Well done.

Sorry Sticker, I don't agree that this was a sqeaker. I have heard two different margins one being 10 million votes seperating them and the other being 4%. Either way, there will never be a race as close as Clay and Ruben, because of the expanded phone capacity so they can't be used as barometer of what will happen in the record buying marketplace anymore.

There are varying theories about the vote total. Another story I've heard from numerous sources says the difference was less than 200 votes. So who knows? I don't care: Bo Bice is going to have a great career, and as far as AI goes, that is all that matters to me.

Hi, Lynn--

Maybe I wasn't very clear on what I was saying: I think it was a squeaker going in to the finale. IOW, as Ryan said, the night Vonzell was eliminated, the contestants were only 2% apart.

Meaning Bo and Carrie were only 2% apart at that time.

I don't think many people who had been voting for Bo decided to vote for Carrie in the finale, or vice versa.

So their base vote likely remained about 2% apart. (This doesn't tell us who was about 2% ahead, Bo or Carrie.)

So what made the difference was what the millions of Vonzell voters decided to do with their votes.

If the majority of them went to Carrie, she obviously would win and not in a squeaker.

So to recap: the squeaker part had to do with the differential between Bo and Carrie's base vote going in to the finale.

As Natalie Davis said, it may even have been a squeaker at the end. But I think it's reasonable to assume that most of Vonzell's voters did vote and that most of them went over to Carrie, giving her way more than a 2% margin of victory.

thanks, Richard, for stopping by!

To Natalie Davis and all Bo fans:

Previously I linked to the fact that Carrie's single had already been delivered to radio stations for airplay.

Today there's a new presser that Bo's single has been delivered to radio stations for preview.

Both songs are now available for download (by the stations), so potentially for airplay.

Excerpt:

RCA Delivers American Idol Winner, Carrie Underwood and Runner Up Bo Bice, Through Musicrypt's DMDS First
Musicrypt's DMDS Is First to Deliver American Idol Songs Into North American Broadcast Market
TORONTO -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 05/31/2005 -- Musicrypt Inc. (TSX-V: MCT) (OTC BB: MCYPF), the industry's leading developer of user-friendly and secure music distribution, today announced that RCA Music Group chose Musicrypt's Digital Music Distribution System (DMDS) to be the first to deliver the hit songs from the new American Idol winner, Carrie Underwood, and runner up, Bo Bice. Nearly 30 million viewers tuned in to see the American Idol season finale capping the most watched season yet for prime-time.

American Idol, Carrie Underwood's version of "Inside Your Heaven" was the first song to be delivered for immediate download and airplay on Thursday, May 26, 2005, at 12:28 AM ET by RCA Music Group through DMDS. Runner up, Bo Bice's version was delivered for preview on Thursday, May 26, 2005, at 4:55 PM ET, and was made available for download at exactly 5:00 PM ET via DMDS as well.

http://www.marketwire.com/mw/release_html_b1?release_id=87752

yeah, i knew about the media prerelease for preview last week. (i am in possession of my download already). i have already preordered Bo's single. AND i have already heard Bo's version of "In Your Heaven" on local radio. so...

BTW, re:

But no way do you then pronounce: "No banana toasted walnut? I'm outta here. See ya."

Already heard Bo on the radio? Great!

As for "no substitutions allowed" - for every generality, there of course are exceptions - all I can tell you is, after a lifetime of standing in ice cream shop lines, my humble observation is most people go for an alternate!

And so it goes for voting for AI . . .

but, to each his/her own . . . :-)

Great observation Sticker. Just no more Cher-ies Jubilee flavor...

thanks, Keefer.

Just saw that Bo is #1 for pre-orders for his debut disc (due in July) while Carrie is #16 on B & N.

Not a totally major player in record sales, but it does show enthusiasm and that people are making an effort to go wherever they need to go to get in line to buy Bo's record.

IF the voting counts AT ALL, (it IS quite funny that the 'AMERICAN IDOL CD', released LAST MONTH, again has them in the way they finished, just like Season 2 and 3, hmmm) then I guess your analogy of what happened is quite possibly true for the RUBEN/CLAY duel AND the BO/CARRIE one. Also, I think there is a ANYBODY but the other guy vote. Some folks HATE Clay Aiken with a purple passion, (homophobes? cough cough) and would have voted for WHOMEVER was against him, even Will Hung, lol. Clay is a VERY polarizing guy, you LOVE or HATE him.
This time, there is a VOTE against thing for both, some can't stand long hair BO, but more seem to loathe 'Barbie doll Carrie'.
As for the 'was it close thing', Simon Lythgoe (the producer son of senior producer Nigel Lythgoe) supposedly said that 'if it WAS close, they WOULD have announced it, so it must NOT have been close. They wouldn't want to say what a landslide it was because that would hurt Sweetbo's male ego.
I Love BOTH Carrie and Bo, and thought I didn't care which one won, but have surprised myself by feeling sorry for Bo losing and wishing that maybe he SHOULD have won so a 'white male' could prevail for once!

nancy--

I don't think the final result was close, but I do think it was close going in to the finale.

Then most of Vonzell's votes went for Carrie and that was that.

Here's a nice interview with Bo that gives a good idea into his reaction to "losing."

another great one STicker, did you get the email I just sent over?

I believe you're looking for "Flux Capacitor" in the original post.

EB, I dare you to say "Flux Capacitor" three times fast in your next podcast. LOL.

Hmm... the challenge has been issued...

Did I mention that I have kick-ass diction?

Then try "Toy Boat" twice.

Then "Peter Piper picked a peck of flux capictors."

GRINS.

I started in with the Toy Boat... then I realized, Wait a minute? Don't I have something (anything?) better to do with my time?

I'll be jumping off bridges before I know it upon request.

Darn. You're too smart for me. I have to find another monkey.

BIGGER GRINS.

But do you have a bridge nearby, by chance?

Yep.

A Bridge Too Far...

I guess you had to be there? lol

aaaaah, Sticker. Can you say Toy Boat three times fast?

Don't do it Sticker?

It starts out fun, and then it gets... icky.

That ? should have been a !

thanks for the ad-vice, eric berlin!

First of all, I love the article--though I may not agree with it..totally.

I agree that MOST of Vonzell's fans went to Carrie-- but a lot of Vonzell's fans despised Carrie because for 4 weeks, Carrie was the only other female in the competition. So some Vonzell fans were determined to hate her, so when the finale came around and Vonzell was not in the running, they ran for Bo Bice.

As is what I did. I was a die hard Vonzell fan then she left. Then Bo received my vote. Though, I still didn't like Bo (because I had ignored him for Vonzell), I am now his #1 fan.

So, I left the sweet Strawberry for the daring Rocky Road.

As far as closeness of the finale goes, Carrie led the votes by only 133 votes. Fox reported this (the American Idol network), so it is true.

After all lead critics and polls from the highest places predicted Bo as the winner, it was quite obvious that when he lost, that wasn't the last of Mr. Bice. His single replaced the winner's at #1, breaking history. (Ruben and Clay were released the same day, Ruben automatically went to #2, Clay automatically went to #1). His single, The Real Thing, is a HUUUGE hit. (Expected to be on the next "Now")

So once again, it's a pleasure to see the winner AND the runner-up, enjoy the sweet taste of success. Congratulations to both!

Sorry but Cher's Farewell tour was not for the money. Forbes has her networth between 600 and 800 million dollars. She doesn't need the money. =) Show a tad bit of respect.