Personal Computers: 1 Billion by '07

Written by Eric Olsen
Published March 17, 2005

There were over 820 million PCs in use throughout the world in 2004 and the total is projected to top 1 billion in 2007. Why is no one talking about birth contol for PCs? What will we feed them?

Growth is slowing as the industrialized world, but will continue in the developing countries for another decade, according to Computer Industry Almanac. The U.S. is way out in front with over 220 million of the suckers, accounting for over 27% of all PCs in use. By way of comparison, the U.S. only accounts for 4.6% of worldwide population.

PC usage is growing rapidly in China (and is expected to surpass Japan in 2007), and also in other populous emerging countries such as Brazil, India and Russia.

The totals:
rank, country, PCs, percentage
1. U.S. 223.81 27.22
2. Japan 69.20 8.42
3. China 52.99 6.45
4. Germany 46.30 5.63
5. UK 35.89 4.37
6. France 29.41 3.58
7. South Korea 26.20 3.19
8. Italy 22.65 2.75
9. Canada 22.39 2.72
10. Brazil 19.35 2.35
11. Russia 19.01 2.31
12. Australia 13.72 1.67
13. India 13.03 1.58
14. Mexico 11.21 1.36
15. Netherlands 11.11 1.35
Top 15 Total 616.27 74.96
Worldwide Total 822.15 100.0

The digital divide would appear to be closing, but we sure have a head start.

Career media professional Eric Olsen is honored to be the founder and publisher of Blogcritics.org, which, quite frankly, rules - as do his wife and four children.
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Personal Computers: 1 Billion by '07
Published: March 17, 2005
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Section: Sci/Tech
Writer: Eric Olsen
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Comments

#1 — March 17, 2005 @ 17:27PM — Eric Olsen

by the way, I should mention my astonishment that although we have Blogcritics from around the world, including dozens from Canada, we have a grand total of one in Mexico and he's an expat American. And it isn't that Mexico doesn't have computers: they are 14th in the world with 11.2 million. What's up compadres?

#2 — March 17, 2005 @ 18:10PM — Eric Berlin [URL]

I wouldn't be surprised to see China challenging as a close second to the US before too long.

That's partly why companies are falling all over themselves trying to get a foothold in China.

#3 — March 17, 2005 @ 18:36PM — Eric Olsen

they are an awakening giant, as is India

#4 — March 17, 2005 @ 18:38PM — Eric Berlin [URL]

India + China + shrinking oil reserves will = $15 / gallon of gas (or something).

A bit off-topic, sorry.

#5 — March 17, 2005 @ 18:45PM — SFC Ski

Chna is a huge consumer market, but knowing how business is done over there, any Western product the Chinese will buy will be "reverse engineered" if not outright copied. Then a nationalized Chinese factory will build and sell it as a domestic product more cheaply than the import. China does not recognize copyrights or intellectual property laws, so it would not be much of a long term gain for Western manufacturers.

#6 — March 17, 2005 @ 19:41PM — Eric Olsen

they are at least having to pay lip-service to intellectual property rights as part of their WTO play - eventually they will have to move more in line with their trading partners

#7 — March 17, 2005 @ 19:49PM — Eric Berlin [URL]

Many companies are attempting to build and work within China to tap into the huge domestic market there.

And you'd have to think that as China becomes more a part of the global marketplace, the more it will have to step up to international aggreements.

#8 — March 17, 2005 @ 19:53PM — SFC Ski

I don't agree, Eric. If you look at communism and Chinese practice thereof, there is no individual, and no individual property, it is all for the State in the end. They will toe the line when necessary, but they will also take all they can get if it leads to their advantage. They are a nation and law unto themselves in the end, and big enough to get away with a lot of it.
THe Chinese only opened there markets on a limited basis because they had to do so having seen the total control method was failing. Unlike trends in other places around the world, a free market in China, IMO, won't lead to a freer country on the whole.

#9 — March 17, 2005 @ 19:56PM — Eric Berlin [URL]

I disagree -- I can foresee a China that (very) slowly transitions to a market economy with perhaps some kind of limited form of democracy.

#10 — March 17, 2005 @ 20:03PM — SFC Ski

Well, I am no expert on China, and having seen the Berlin Wall fall, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the deposition of Saddam Hussin in my lifetime, I won't bet against anything anymore. (Except maybe for deluded moonbats to remain deluded moonbats.)

#11 — March 17, 2005 @ 20:38PM — Eric Olsen

there's always that

I can see China ending up something like Taiwan

#12 — March 17, 2005 @ 20:40PM — SFC Ski

Taiwan becomes the model for China, now there is some irony for you.

#13 — March 17, 2005 @ 21:35PM — Eric Olsen

that's part of why they are hanging on so tightly

#14 — March 18, 2005 @ 12:29PM — Aaman [URL]

PC recycling should be treated as a tax break, like cars

#15 — March 18, 2005 @ 12:32PM — Eric Olsen

that's a good point and I agree - that's a vast amount of toxic chemicals being let loose unless an effort is made to reclaim them

#16 — March 18, 2005 @ 12:34PM — Aaman [URL]

Interestingly, in India, gray market (assembled) PCs are far more popular than branded PCs. Almost everyone has a personalized PC for that reason - pretty souped up ones at that. If these numbers only account for branded PCs, they are suspect - I am sure assembled PCs are common the world over. I saw them in China as well in every place

#17 — March 18, 2005 @ 12:37PM — Eric Olsen

I don't see a definition anywhere for "PC in use"

#18 — March 18, 2005 @ 12:38PM — Aaman [URL]

If this information comes from the C-I-A, it should be suspect to begin with;)

#19 — March 24, 2005 @ 07:57AM — alienboy [URL]

could someone indulge me and put the figures in for the EU as a whole rather than by the individual states?

I reckon this simple re-classification would see us winning the Olympic Games et cetera for ever!

#20 — March 24, 2005 @ 09:00AM — Eric Olsen

AB, I don't see EU aggregate figures on the site, andI only see the top 15 broken out. I guess you get to indulge yourself and add them up (smile)

#21 — March 24, 2005 @ 09:19AM — alienboy [URL]

well, i had already added the ones in the chart, it comes to 145.36 across the 5 states listed. That's what got me wondering...

I reckon the other 20 states have enough kit between them to push Europe into 1st place!

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