Grammy Predictions

Written by Chip Ross
Published February 13, 2005

Either your hyped up to see Usher and the ghost of Ray Charles win big or want the "Joan & Melissa" on what Beyonce is wearing. It's Grammy Night. For the 47th year, the recording industry will honor nearly everyone that recorded music last year. Really. The way that Grammy categories are classified, there is an award for anyone who made noise in 2004.

Tonight's telecast begins at 8/7 (ET/CT), but for west coasters you must wait until the tape delay on CBS at 8 p.m. our time. Of course the Internet is there to spoil your surprise. But really, will there be any surprises? Usher, Kanye, Green Day, Jay-Z and Prince will all take home statues and the more interesting awards (Rap, Electronica, Hard Rock, Dance) will be handed out in an earlier ceremony that does not make the airwaves.

Will Win (X)
Should Win (Y)

Album of the Year

Usher - Confessions (X,Y)
Kanye West - College Dropout
Ray Charles - Genius Loves Company
Green Day - American Idiot
Brian Wilson - Smile

Record of the Year

Black Eyed Peas - "Let's Get it Started"
Ray Charles & Norah Jones - "Here We Go Again"
Los Lonely Boys - "Heaven"
Green Day - "American Idiot" (X)
Usher - "Yeah" (Y)

Best New Artist

Los Lonely Boys
Maroon 5
Joss Stone
Kanye West (X,Y)
Gretchen Wilson

Song of the Year

John Mayer - "Daughters" (John Mayer, songwriter)
Alicia Keys- "If I Ain't Got You" (Alicia Keys, songwriter) (X)
Kanye West - "Jesus Walks" (C. Smith & Kanye West, songwriters) (Y)
Tim McGraw - "Live Like You Were Dying" (Tim Nichols & Craig Wiseman, songwriters)
Hoobastank - "The Reason" (Daniel Estrin & Douglas Robb, songwriters)

Best Rock Performance by a Duo or Group with Vocal

Elvis Costello & The Imposters - "Monkey To Man"
Franz Ferdinand - "Take Me Out"
Green Day - "American Idiot" (X)
The Killers - "Somebody Told Me" (Y)
U2 - "Vertigo"

Best Pop Performance by a Duo or Group with Vocal

Evanescence - "My Immortal" (X)
Hoobastank - "The Reason"
Los Lonely Boys - "Heaven,"
Maroon 5 - "She Will Be Loved"
No Doubt - "It's My Life" (Y)

Best Rap Solo Performance

Lloyd Banks - "On Fire"
Eminem - "Just Lose It"
Jay-Z - "99 Problems" (X,Y)
Twista - "Overnight Celebrity"
Kanye West - "Through the Wire"

Best Alternative Music Album

Bjork - Medulla (X)
Franz Ferdinand - Franz Ferdinand (Y)
PJ Harvey - Uh Huh Her
Modest Mouse - Good News For People Who Love Bad News
Wilco - A Ghost Is Born

Best Electronic/Dance Album

Basement Jaxx - Kish Kash (Y)
The Crystal Method - Legion of Boom (X)
Paul Oakenfold - Creamfields
The Prodigy - Always Outnumbered, Never Outgunned
Paul Van Dyk - Reflections

More on my site - Culture Drift, including a wrap-up of the awards and coverage, http://www.culturedrift.com

Keep reading for information and comments on this article, and add some feedback of your own!
Buy from Amazon.com
Confessions Confessions
Usher
Music,
Kish Kash Kish Kash
Basement Jaxx
Music,
Genius Loves Company Genius Loves Company
Ray Charles
Music,

Grammy Predictions
Published: February 13, 2005
Type:
Section: Music
Filed Under: Music: Hip-hop, Music: News, Music: Pop, Music: R&B
Writer: Chip Ross
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Comments

#1 — February 13, 2005 @ 14:37PM — Eric Olsen

great job Chip, thaks - you really think "Vertigo" won't win anything?

#2 — February 13, 2005 @ 14:42PM — Matt [URL]

Usher "should" win? Is this a joke? Over SMiLE? Over Kanye West? "Yeah" should be the record of the year? The Grammys suck as it is, since they pretty much ignore 99% of good music in deference to a bunch of radio friendly horseshit like Usher. The could restore some confidence in me by going with quality over record sales.

#3 — February 13, 2005 @ 14:44PM — SFC SKI

Matt, I couldn't have said it bettr myself.

#4 — February 13, 2005 @ 14:52PM — Matt [URL]

Thanks Ski. Personally, I am pulling for SMiLE. Its a fantastic album, and while it wasn't my favorite in 2004, it is certainly better than most of what its up against. The Kanye West album is also pretty remarkable.

#5 — February 13, 2005 @ 15:10PM — Chip [URL]

"SMiLE" is a great and classic album and I think it will win "Best Pop Vocal Album" but not the general category of "Album of the year." Usher was the guilty pleasure of 2004 and "Yeah!" was everywhere, you have to admit it. I realize for a lot of people that is hard to bear, and Usher represents all that is wrong with pop music. That's your opinion.
"Vertigo" could very well win "Best Rock Song," which goes to the songwriters, but I think that momentum is on Green Day's side to take the "Best Rock Performance." But next year, U2 will sweep since the full-length album was released after the 2004 Grammys cut-off date.

#6 — February 13, 2005 @ 15:17PM — Matt [URL]

So Chip, lemme get this straight. Usher should win because Usher was a guilty pleasure and "Yeah" was everywhere? So by those standards, Lou Bega should have won for Mambo No. 5?

I do not think that Usher is wrong with pop music. I think anyone who listens to tripe like Usher deserves it.

#7 — February 13, 2005 @ 15:30PM — Chip [URL]

A lot of people liked Usher in 2004 including me. That is why I said would win/should win in that category. I am admitting the cheese factor in his music with the guilty pleasure label. Though it is nowhere near "Mambo No. 5" or "Macarena." I'm not sure what I "deserve" for that, but who cares?

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