Thinking About Why Bush Lost (even if he really doesn't)
Published November 03, 2004
Donkey Loyalty
"Donkey Loyalty" is the delightful title of a chapter in Tom Wolfe's Bonfire of the Vanities. The chapter describes the curious behavior of Irish-American civil servants in New York City who prized loyalty to clan above all other values. There are few families in the United States less Irish and more Wasp than the Bush family. When it comes to loyalty however they are as Irish as any political family - Kennedys included. Besides the uninterrupted tenure in office of Cabinet members Ashcroft and Rumsfeld, another manifestation of this obsession with loyalty is the presence on the 2004 ticket of Dick Cheney. While Cheney's service has been admirable his political value on the ticket has gone from being negligible in 2000 to a net liability in 2004. The president could have easily replaced Cheney on the ticket with any number of excellent candidates. These candidates would have made it easier to win the November election rather than more difficult. A candidate who could put the states of Ohio or Florida out of reach for the Democrats would be sufficient to assure victory. One obvious candidate is national security adviser Condi Rice. It is distressing to think what a huge positive contribution Rice could have made to the ticket. She is extremely bright and extremely articulate, and while he may be bright, the president has never been called articulate. Furthermore Rice and the president have an excellent working relationship. The inclusion of such a candidate on the ticket would not only balance the temperaments of the two candidates, it would be a historic moment for the Republican party to first advance the national candidacy of an African-American woman. Rice would draw tens of thousands of votes to the Republicans in states like Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Illinois, and New Jersey. Bush was foolish not to seize such a rare opportunity to do well by doing good.
The Media
The behavior of the mainstream media during the six months prior to the November election was highly partisan, biased, and completely disgraceful. So what else is new? The mainstream media was completely in the tank for candidate Clinton in 1992. The media was deeply antagonistic towards candidate Reagan both in 1980 and in 1984. Reagan had no bloggers to help his administration un-spin the media. Instead, he relied on his superb communication skills and his ability to use sound-bite-sized moments to get his message directly to the people in spite of a hostile media. Bush's inability to express himself well verbally does not excuse this poor performance in propogating short messages through a hostile media.
Bush
Last but not least, we can blame the work of the candidate himself. In spite of his best efforts he did not build as comprehensive a coalition to fight the second Iraq war as his father had built to fight the first one. But his chief weaknesses in this area was that he did not effectively nurture the domestic consensus for war that was reached in the wake of the September 11th attacks. The will of our citizens to fight the war is the most important weapon we possess. It needs to be sharpened and maintained in a manner worthy of its importance.
- Thinking About Why Bush Lost (even if he really doesn't)
- Published: November 03, 2004
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- Section: Politics
- Writer: Harry Forbes
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Comments
Well, observing you take a break from kneeling before Bush is refreshing. But, as I've come to expect, you've blundered.
One obvious candidate is national security adviser Condi Rice. It is distressing to think what a huge positive contribution Rice could have made to the ticket.
Placing a woman many people consider a war criminal on the ticket would not have helped Shrub. Nor would raising the hypocrisy against homosexuals problem of the GOP, already in play because of the Mary Cheney publicity, a second time. And, no, Rice could not have run without declaring herself one way or the other. Last, you insult the intelligence of people of color with your assumption we would support Rice. People have a very low opinion of her in the African-American community, with she has gone to great lengths to separate herself from. She would not have attracted minority voters to the ticket in any substantial numbers. And, since the GOP is the party of bigotry, some of the people you represent, white conservatives, would have stayed home or defected to the Libertarian or Constitution Party had a 'nigra' (as Southern Republicans still say) been a candidate. You reveal a significant lack of knowledge about the minority vote. But, then, your interest in that vote is only in regard to trying to use it to reelect a president who has caused minorities particular harm during his four years in office. You assume too much. Most of us are not so stupid that we would allow ourselves to be used by George Bush.
SIncere thanks for the comment, Mac.
While I cannot claim to represent the "party of bigotry" (would you call that hate speech if I said the same about you?), I believe that as a running mate Rice would have cost Bush near zero of his current support, and maybe helped him by virtue of her far superior skills in articulating policy.
I also think that she would make an excellent, though accidental, president. If one can rise to the top of the cut-throat world of academic administration, then politics probably seems easy by comparison.
It is interesting that you have evaded responding to even one of Rice's liabilities.





That's a great piece on (first) second thoughts