At 11:43 am this morning John Zogby posted the following message on Zogby International's site:

"Watch Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. There may be some big surprises!"

Everyone knew Florida, Pennsylvania, and Colorado were going to be pretty close, but now Zogby considers Virginia, which Bush won by 8 points in 2000, a virtual tie. In an election where states as small as New Hampshire (4 electoral votes) are considered relevant battleground states, Virginia's 13 electoral votes could be the key to defeating Bush.

Zogby also has North Carolina as going to Bush by a mere 3%, compared to a 13% Bush margin in 2000. Based on conversations with friends and family in NC, a close finish in the state wouldn't surprise me at all.

Thad Anderson
outragedmoderates.org