American Idol - Group 3 Preview

Written by Scott Pepper
Published February 21, 2004
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Lastly, Matthew Rogers has stood up for himself throughout the season so far. He was visibly shaken by the judges' response to his less-than-stellar performance, and the authenticity of his disappointment resonated with viewers. They wanted to give him a second chance.

The Show Should Look Like America

The producers want a diverse Top 12. They will do everything and anything they can to ensure an equal mix of gender and race among the finalists.

So far, there are three women and one man. This implies there are more spaces left for men than women.

Additionally, there have been two Caucasians, one African-American, and one Pacific Islander voted in so far. From a race perspective, it's a roughly even mix so far.

That being said, my early picks are Amy Adams and Jon Peter Lewis.

Jon is the easier singer to call. Look at it this way--so far, there have been three women and one man voted through to the finals. With eight slots left, and assuming the field will be evenly split, that leaves room for only three females to make it through, but for five males. Statistically, one of these three guys will likely go on.

Jonah can be ruled out easily. He just doesn't have the mass appeal necessary to carry the vote. Of the two remaining guys, we've seen a lot more of Jon. He seems to have an appealing, modest personality (remember the "pen salesman" jokes?) and the boy can sing. On Wednesday, I wouldn't be surprised if he's the fifth person voted into the Top 12.

While there's no good reason the other four women couldn't make it through, Amy has had plenty of screen time, giving the audience a chance to get to know her. And, her personality and look recall Nikki McKibbin, who made it to #3 in the first season.

I'll have revised picks up once these kids have had a chance to sing on Tuesday night.

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American Idol - Group 3 Preview
Published: February 21, 2004
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Filed Under: Video: Television
Writer: Scott Pepper
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#1 — February 21, 2004 @ 21:43PM — Eric Olsen

Thanks Scott, very perceptive analysis! We shall see how it pans out.

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