Why the Telecos Should Be Allowed to Fail
Published October 22, 2002
Letter to FCC Chairman Michael Powell, signed by our own David Weinberger, Doc Searls, and Kevin Marks, among a number of other digerati:
- Dear Mr. Chairman:
We thank you for your leadership in FCC efforts to understand the causes of the current telecom debacle, and especially for convening the FCC's October 7, 2002, Telecom Recovery En Banc hearing.
We were dismayed that several of the En Banc speakers confused causes with effects. We believe that balance sheet weakness, long-haul overcapacity, and even the recent speculative bubble, are effects, not causes. If we attempt to treat the symptoms, we risk missing the causes and prolonging the agony.
We hold that the primary cause of current telecom troubles is that Internet-based end-to-end data networking has subsumed (and will subsume) the value that was formerly embodied in other communications networks. This, in turn, is causing the immediate obsolescence of the vertically integrated, circuit-based telephony industry of 127 years vintage. CLEC, IXC and ILEC bonds used to purchase now-obsolete infrastructure assets have become (or inexorably are becoming) bad debt. Weak last-mile competition prevents the most powerful technological advances from reaching all but a few customers; this is the largest cause of long-haul over-capacity.
One En Banc participant, NYU Professor Larry White, had views that seem consistent with ours. He recommends that we let firms that are failing fail as quickly as possible. We believe that it would be harmful if government actions prevent, delay or interrupt this evolution. It must proceed if the United States is to continue to be a leading contributor to communications progress, and if its citizens are to benefit from the technologies that are now available and the applications that they enable.
The telecom debacle is not a cyclical phenomenon. The telephone network's technological base, and the business model under which this old technology thrived, are obsolete. Recovery is not an option. We can only move forward; how far and how fast will be determined by our continued freedom to innovate. Let the United States learn by not duplicating the Japanese banking experience in the telecom arena.
We need to see the current situation not as a disaster, but as a natural event; part of a revolution in productivity and human benefit as big as the agricultural and industrial revolutions.
Given these views, we urge the FCC to:
Resist at all costs the telephone industry's calls for bailouts. The policy should be one of "fast failure."
Acknowledge that non-Internet communications equipment, while not yet extinct, is economically obsolete and forbear from actions that would artificially prolong its use.
Discourage attempts by incumbent telephone companies to thwart municipal, publicly-owned and other communications initiatives that don't fit the telephone company business model.
Accelerate FCC exploration of innovative spectrum use and aggressively expand unlicensed spectrum allocation.
Mr. Chairman, we note with gratitude your impatience with antique regulatory structures, and your attempts to embrace new technology. Also, we acknowledge the burden inherent in the FCC's duty to ensure the continuity of communications, especially basic dial-tone continuity, in the face of such changes; we are prepared to lend assistance as the FCC grapples with this issue. Notwithstanding, we urge you to continue against the inevitable onslaught of those seeking to preserve an impossible status quo.
- Why the Telecos Should Be Allowed to Fail
- Published: October 22, 2002
- Type:
- Section: Culture
- Writer: Eric Olsen
- Eric Olsen's BC Writer page
- Eric Olsen's personal site
- Spread the Word
- Like this article?
- Email this
Save to del.icio.us
Comments
Amen! (to the article)
I have to agree with the previous comment, though. Stuff that makes this much sense is doomed to fail in the current climate. Escalation is the undeniable trend in society. Attempting to unwind things to a simpler, more manageable state is anethma.
I sometimes wonder why any of us were cursed with with a trait as insideous as "common sense".
"Genius lies in simplicity" -Albert Einstein
(or)
K.I.S.S. -Keep It Simple, Stupid!
(a re-assigned telco engineer)
Will VoIP be the future?
Undoubtely it will be.
But not because it means saving money on telephone calls, just because it is THE NEW WAY OF COMMUNICATION.
In the seventies a writer wouldn't have changed his type writer for a computer.
The first was much easier to use, didn't require power to work, you could carry and use it in the desert, didn't require a printer.
Computers were expensive, difficult and annoying using the programs, needed power to work and so on...
But the computer won. Now a day nobody uses type writers anymore, not even to write a letter.
As a matter of fact, few write a letter with ink and paper. Email is much better.
The same is VoIP.
It is true, the old telephone is available everywhere, doesn't need power, no software, you can easily send your voice from point A to point B.
But that is all you can do, and it is expensive too.
The Telecoms, when VoIp will be a real thread will just lower their prices and think they will get the market back.
But VoIp in spite of everything will be the winner.
Because a computer can give you what a telephone cannot.
You can send voice, but also pictures and movies.
You can have a real conference on a decent screen, you can show documents, you can send them and many other things.
It will take time, because some people are fast in embracing new technologies, some are slow, some are very slow.
But progress is something nobody can stop, not even the Big Monopolies.
It is time to throw the Telecoms' Monopolies in the dustbin of History.
Patrizia from a World on IP
patrizia@worldonip.com
http://www.worldonip.com
By the way:
The inventor of the telephone was Antonio Meucci,
Mr. Bell just managed to steal his invention in every possible way, even corrupting the Patent officers.
This isn't a nice story for the Americans, probably this is why nobody talks about it...


It'll never happen. Makes too much sense and removes government control by eliminating regulatory bureaucracy.
Just look at the way Congress passed the Sonny Bono act and allowing the industry to invade people's privacy by infiltrating home computers.