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American Idol – Episode 421a – No More Second Chances For Nikko

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Last night, the final nine AI4 contestants took on show tunes–and lost. Losing most of all, however, was Nikko Smith. It was only by chance that Nikko made it this far at all, as his appearance in the finals came only after Mario Vasquez chose to leave the show.

While Nikko was not among the worst singers last night (that honor goes to Scott Savol and Anthony Fedorov), he really wasn’t anything special. Among a group of incredibly talented performers, he just couldn’t quite measure up.

Prediction Scorecard

Both ZMethos and I were off in our predictions last night, expecting Anthony and Scott to be the ones to leave, respectively. Scott did end up in the bottom three (finally), but Anthony seems to have developed a devoted fan base that will pull him from the jaws of Idol death even after disasters like last night.

Scott: 1:4
ZMethos: 2:4

Not exactly an awe-inspiring record so far, but I’ll still go out on a limb and try to predict next week.

Constantine, Bo, and Carrie are all clearly safe. They could all phone in it next week and not one of them would land in the bottom three, as they can all still be riding the strength of their knockout performances (Constantine last night with “My Funny Valentine,” Bo with “Spinning Wheel” in 1960s week, and Carrie during 1990s week with “Independence Day.”)

As much as it pains me to say it, Anthony will probably be around for another few weeks as well.

Nadia has hit the bottom 3 more than once now, but she escaped the pressure this week. While we could see her back there next week, I don’t think she’ll be the lowest on the totem pole. Likewise, Anwar has been getting worse and worse, but not bad enough to be the one to go.

That leaves us will Vonzell and Scott in the bottom three again, with either Nadia or Anwar in there along with them. My guess right now is that Scott will be the one to go. He’s shown us what he can do, and that appears to be it. His voice hasn’t been as strong lately, and the whole shady past thing will likely cause him to continue to lose fans as more of America finds out about it. Next week, it’s a good bet that AI will say goodbye to Scott Savol.

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  • RickJames

    “Anthony seems to have developed a devoted fan base that will pull him from the jaws of Idol death even after disasters like last night.”

    I disagree. I believe Anthony does have a fan, but fans of other singers, such as Carrie and Bo, are also casting votes for Anthony as a way to vote against certain people, such as Nadia and Anwar, who are viewed as threats to Bo and Carrie.

    After all, Carrie Vs. Nadia/Anwar final, Nadia/Anwar will win. Bo vs. Nadia/Anwar final, Nadia/Anwar will win.

    Thus some Carrie and Bo fans needed to save Anthony just to make sure a threat goes home.

    Right now, in order, the biggest threats to Bo and Carrie are:
    Nadia, Anwar, Vonzell, and Constantine.

    Bo/Carrie fans were happy to see Nikko go this week, but would love to see Nadia or Anwar go home next week.

  • http://www.planethuff.com/darkside Steve

    Rick, do you get tired of people wanting to end the things you say with “bitch?” I just read the above and I kept thinking, you know, of the dead Rick James, and how your last sentence would look like this if you were him;

    “Bo/Carrie fans were happy to see Nikko go this week, but would love to see Nadia or Anwar go home next week. Bitch.”

    So, anyway…Nikko done gone? Damn. Not my pick. I guess Anthony’s riding his Clay Aiken with a slight Ukrainian accent thing pretty far. Hey, don’t get me wrong – I reminded myself that he’s only 19, and with that in mind, he’s a little more impressive than he was. But Nikko had something, I’m thinking he was just kind of narrowcasting style-wise – he was SO R & B, one got the feel that he wouldn’t sound as good doing anything else. Hella high soul tenor, though. I think Anwar’s dreadlocks is on the block next y’all. Shame, ’cause I like the guy. I foresee him having a future in replacing the dude on the Disney Channel’s music/creativity show for kids, “Out of the Box.”

  • Eric Olsen

    I am atonished by the level of support for Anthony and Scott, but we see things like this each season

  • http://scottpepper.blogspot.com Scott Pepper

    Scott’s support appears to be wearing thin, as evidenced by his appearance in the bottom 3. Chalk it up to a combination of progressively worse performances and recent revelations about his colorful history.

    I agree that Anthony is likely this season’s John Stevens: a contestant that the majority of the audience hates, but also one who keeps getting by on the strength of his inexplicably devoted fan base no matter how horrible his performances each week.

  • RickJames

    “I agree that Anthony is likely this season’s John Stevens: a contestant that the majority of the audience hates, but also one who keeps getting by on the strength of his inexplicably devoted fan base no matter how horrible his performances each week.”

    I don’t think he has John Stevens appeal at all.

    I honestly think Bo and Carrie fans, some of them, are saving him on purpose.

    Think of this like Survivor. Bo and Carrie fans want to make sure they at least get to the finals. They don’t want to be bumped when there are 4 or 5 left.

    Bo and Carrie fans see Nadia, Anwar, Vonzell, and Nikko as threats to them, IF any of those four make the final 4.

    A Bo, Carrie, Scott, and Anthony final 4 is absolutely no threat to Bo or Carrie and it is smooth sailing to the final 2.

    So Bo and Carrie fans want Nadia/Anwar/Vonzell/Nikko off, but they cannot vote against them. So what do they do? Some of them vote for Anthony to save him, getting rid of a likely stronger Nikko.

    Next week some Bo and Carrie fans will vote to save Scott and Anthony, in the hopes that Anwar/Nadia/Vonzell goes home, because they are a dangerous trio to Bo and Carrie’s bid for the finals.

    This is just like survivor: people are trying to make sure their favorite goes to the finals by getting rid of the strong ones now, because the weak provide lousy competition when it’s down to 4 or 3.

    This is not a John Stevens thing, but rather Bo, Carrie (and perhaps Constantine) fans voting for Scott and Anthony to make sure a Nadia/Anwar/Vonzell/Nikko goes home, and it worked last week.

    It’ll probably work next week.

  • John

    You are right Rick James.

    Bo, Carrie, and Constantine are easily the favorite and the most popular.

    Those 3 are likely to make the final 4. But there are two worries:

    1.) That someone like a Vonzell or Nadia could surge in popularily and bump one of the top 3 before it even gets down to 4

    or

    2.) That the fourth person to make up the final 4 could take over the competition.

    Therefore if you like Bo, Carrie, or Constantine, and want to make sure they get to the final 3, you cast votes for Anthony and Scott, helping to drive Nadia, Anwar, and Vonzell home.

    Look at these final 4 scenarios:
    Bo, Carrie, Constantine, Vonzell

    Pretty scary if you are a fan of the big 3. Vonzell has shown she can bring it to the next level, and the judges are pumping her up these days. Not the final 4 you want if you are a fan of the big 3.

    Big 3, Nadia

    Nadia is also a threat who can surge out of nowhere. I’d scared if I was a fan of the big 3

    Big 3, Scott

    Laughable. Scott would finally go in this round.

    Big 3, Anthony

    Again, another joke as Anthony will surely go home after this round.

    AI voters/fans are smart these days. They understand they cannot vote people off, but they do realize that by having a part of the fanbase throw their vote to weak players not seen as threats, they can, in essence, get the threats “voted off.”